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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 11 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 12 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 13 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 9 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Ordon | March 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,523 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | March 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,585 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | March 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,776 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 215d | March 15 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$427 +20% | 20 | |
| 216d | March 15 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | −$1,276 −100% | 20 | |
| 218d | March 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 219d | Essential-Interchange | March 13 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,603 | +$204 +7.8% | 23 |
| 219d | March 12 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 219d | Huludubu | March 12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,183 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 220d | pelik | March 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,197 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 220d | March 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,341 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 220d | Huludubu | March 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,096 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 220d | March 11 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$154 +8.8% | 21 | |
| 220d | pelik | March 10 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 220d | TronOG | March 10 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 221d | Odysseus72 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,749 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 10 means the market gives it about 100%.