| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,909 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $9,552 | +$984 +11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10,100 | 36¢ → 87¢ | $8,736 | +$5,069 +138% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 4,941 | 26¢ → 88¢ | $4,348 | +$3,068 +240% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 3,550 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $3,213 | +$941 +41% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 14,113 | 4¢ → 20¢ | $2,787 | +$2,166 +349% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 2,764 | 56¢ → 95¢ | $2,626 | +$1,071 +69% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18,602 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $2,511 | −$1,965 −44% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Ends in 106d | No | 2,508 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $2,479 | +$223 +9.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,588 | 47¢ → 66¢ | $2,366 | +$675 +40% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,769 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $2,148 | +$57 +2.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,500 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $2,138 | +$387 +22% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,395 | 26¢ → 89¢ | $2,131 | +$1,516 +246% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 4,712 | 31¢ → 39¢ | $1,837 | +$393 +27% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,917 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $1,783 | +$134 +8.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,908 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $1,664 | −$273 −14% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,293 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $1,662 | +$43 +2.6% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5,783 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $1,532 | +$97 +6.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,445 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $1,354 | +$140 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,547 | 55¢ → 38¢ | $1,330 | −$622 −32% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 2,101 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $1,313 | +$139 +12% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,263 | 20¢ → 54¢ | $1,212 | +$770 +174% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,903 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $1,176 | +$125 +12% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,200 | 34¢ → 93¢ | $1,116 | +$708 +174% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18,408 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $1,031 | −$1,994 −66% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,094 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $1,028 | +$332 +48% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,254 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $1,009 | +$88 +9.5% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17,294 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $994 | −$2,196 −69% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 13,150 | 21¢ → 8¢ | $986 | −$1,739 −64% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,017 | 43¢ → 91¢ | $921 | +$487 +112% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 4,539 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $885 | −$202 −19% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 14,625 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $877 | −$3,015 −77% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 887 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $875 | +$13 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,222 | 56¢ → 38¢ | $833 | −$411 −33% |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 847 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $824 | +$44 +5.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 888 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $808 | +$284 +54% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 7,692 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $808 | −$115 −13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $805 | +$169 +27% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 781 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $781 | +$62 +8.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,260 | 43¢ → 35¢ | $780 | −$195 −20% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 3,692 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $757 | −$231 −23% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 10¢ → 100¢ | $750 | +$676 +914% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15,835 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $744 | −$2,101 −74% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 900 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $738 | −$9 −1.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,500 | 47¢ → 49¢ | $735 | +$34 +4.9% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 900 | 59¢ → 80¢ | $715 | +$181 +34% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $700 | +$189 +37% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 900 | 54¢ → 78¢ | $697 | +$214 +44% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 777 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $688 | +$120 +21% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $663 | +$264 +66% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11,929 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $656 | +$60 +10% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 888 | 52¢ → 71¢ | $626 | +$164 +36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,355 | 34¢ → 12¢ | $616 | −$1,202 −66% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,010 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $613 | −$80 −12% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $600 | +$222 +59% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 67¢ → 98¢ | $588 | +$186 +46% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,387 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $572 | +$40 +7.4% |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $565 | +$7 +1.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 571 | 62¢ → 95¢ | $540 | +$186 +52% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $530 | −$5 −0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 670 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $526 | +$37 +7.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 819 | 47¢ → 64¢ | $524 | +$139 +36% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 548 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $517 | +$18 +3.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 576 | 48¢ → 88¢ | $504 | +$229 +83% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $476 | +$36 +8.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 844 | 18¢ → 56¢ | $468 | +$313 +201% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 640 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $445 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,546 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $441 | −$13 −3.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,140 | 54¢ → 36¢ | $410 | −$211 −34% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 511 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $406 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 80¢ | $401 | −$64 −14% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $400 | +$140 +54% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,274 | 19¢ → 30¢ | $376 | +$137 +57% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 882 | 60¢ → 42¢ | $366 | −$163 −31% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 900 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $364 | +$40 +12% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16,665 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $342 | +$164 +92% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 7,118 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $320 | −$1,136 −78% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 318 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $313 | +$26 +9.1% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 438 | 56¢ → 67¢ | $291 | +$46 +19% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $288 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,066 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $286 | −$914 −76% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 442 | 47¢ → 63¢ | $276 | +$68 +33% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 291 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $269 | +$109 +68% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 446 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $248 | +$29 +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 5,306 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $239 | −$480 −67% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,200 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $234 | −$42 −15% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,750 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $234 | −$170 −42% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 816 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $220 | +$24 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d | No | 400 | 53¢ → 54¢ | $214 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 210 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $209 | +$30 +17% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 268 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $205 | +$39 +23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 12,692 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $197 | −$903 −82% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 1,005 | 14¢ → 19¢ | $186 | +$46 +33% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 253 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $186 | +$21 +12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 300 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $183 | −$9 −4.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,531 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $159 | −$273 −63% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $150 | −$70 −32% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 212 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $142 | +$34 +31% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,555 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $142 | −$8 −5.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,000 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $139 | +$15 +12% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 976 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $139 | +$41 +42% |
