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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d |  Porx2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $3,346 | −$60 −1.8% | — |
| 55d | Porx2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $2,923 | +$75 +2.6% | 4 |
| 99d |  archaic | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,139 | +$42 +3.7% | 4 |
| 151d | ImHereForTheRewards | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 99¢ | $1,792 | −$243 −14% | — |
| 220d | NyomiPowers | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,051 | +$20 +1.9% | 4 |
| 344d |  WinnieTheDog | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 99¢ | $1,300 | +$229 +18% | 4 |
ZnotluvuiSamez10,326 shares
yevhenry1,707 shares
bifurcatio1,036 sharesIf Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 1%.