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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | enrico-vasaio2 fills | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,015 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 28d | agagyu | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,543 | −$69 −4.5% | — |
| 38d | HULK | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$140 +4.2% | 4 |
| 38d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,760 | +$516 +4.4% | 4 |
| 38d | Bertapotamous | December 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $6,461 | +$435 +6.7% | 4 |
| 39d | 881112 | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,095 | +$325 +6.4% | 4 |
| 39d | agagyu | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,530 | +$139 +9.1% | 4 |
| 39d |  johnnyA | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,736 | +$250 +5.3% | 4 |
| 39d |  Car | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | −$175 −7.5% | — |
| 39d | Car | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,811 | +$160 +8.8% | 4 |
| 39d | Car | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | +$175 +7.5% | 4 |
| 39d |  Belgaron | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$133 +7.5% | 4 |
| 39d |  AngryRhino | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | +$146 +7.5% | 4 |
| 39d |  AllByMyseIf | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $3,877 | +$499 +13% | 4 |
| 39d | AllByMyseIf | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,625 | +$1,148 +12% | 4 |
| 39d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e22 fills | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,292 | +$863 +12% | 4 |
AllByMyseIf2,071 shares
Optimus-1,147 shares
Mr.Frog🐸1,000 shares
smellyEllie777 shares
Dr.PNL584 shares
SaturnStormCube500 sharesBertapotamous7,022 shares
ErnstKuzorra1,975 shares
RiskyWhisky1,405 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 2%.