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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2027 | 15% | — | −1 pts | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| June 30, 2027 | 12% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | $80 | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d | Jfownsk | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ | $1,285 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 88d | gydmasg | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 95¢ | $1,286 | +$131 +10% | 2 |
| 99d |  DancewithRisk | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $1,079 | +$187 +17% | 2 |
| 104d |  marsresting | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 95¢ | $4,198 | +$573 +14% | 2 |
| 105d | pginvesting | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes69¢ → 5¢ | $2,900 | −$2,678 −92% | 2 |
| 106d | ep3c3w6vsbsf | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes70¢ → 15¢ | $1,500 | −$1,179 −79% | 2 |
LornaPredicts1,199 shares
LineLock1,128 shares
AlbertoBalsalm505 sharesmarsresting4,945 shares
Moond3,047 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 5%.