DancewithRisk

Polymarket wallet 0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b · on Polymarket since Jun 2, 2025 · also shown as Original-Knee

Open on Polymarket ↗

all in

Positions now worth: $34K
All-time profit: +$25.5K
Volume traded: $2.99M
All-time rank: #6,437
Markets traded: 350
Recent hit rate: 62%31 of last 50 closed

Open positions

65 markets · $34K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d	Yes	19,905	22¢ → 22¢	$4,389	−$50 −1.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	5,134	40¢ → 66¢	$3,378	+$1,344 +66%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Ends in 440d	Yes	14,371	20¢ → 18¢	$2,515	−$334 −12%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	No	3,149	81¢ → 76¢	$2,392	−$165 −6.4%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	3,428	49¢ → 55¢	$1,899	+$219 +13%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d	Yes	4,690	36¢ → 33¢	$1,524	−$164 −9.7%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d	Yes	7,587	16¢ → 19¢	$1,430	+$245 +21%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d	Yes	5,476	26¢ → 25¢	$1,342	−$96 −6.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	2,683	50¢ → 47¢	$1,248	−$84 −6.3%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?Ends in 440d	No	1,270	92¢ → 92¢	$1,164	−$4 −0.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	2,013	62¢ → 57¢	$1,151	−$92 −7.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	8,520	9¢ → 14¢	$1,150	+$341 +42%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d	Yes	7,488	15¢ → 10¢	$749	−$346 −32%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d	No	667	92¢ → 92¢	$613	+$1 +0.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	728	72¢ → 74¢	$538	+$12 +2.2%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 440d	Yes	646	79¢ → 77¢	$495	−$14 −2.8%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	1,492	39¢ → 33¢	$485	−$93 −16%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	6,219	12¢ → 7¢	$463	−$269 −37%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 440d	Yes	2,045	18¢ → 22¢	$453	+$78 +21%
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	666	76¢ → 67¢	$449	−$57 −11%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	No	1,000	42¢ → 45¢	$445	+$25 +6.0%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Ends in 440d	Yes	552	65¢ → 79¢	$436	+$77 +21%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Ends in 440d	Yes	3,011	9¢ → 14¢	$432	+$166 +62%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d	No	553	57¢ → 65¢	$359	+$45 +14%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	1,116	25¢ → 30¢	$335	+$59 +22%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	1,579	24¢ → 20¢	$323	−$51 −14%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	2,067	14¢ → 15¢	$310	+$23 +7.9%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,556	34¢ → 18¢	$282	−$245 −47%
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d	Yes	463	63¢ → 61¢	$280	−$12 −4.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	8,707	3¢ → 3¢	$239	−$52 −18%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d	No	281	81¢ → 84¢	$237	+$10 +4.2%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d	Yes	822	8¢ → 28¢	$234	+$168 +253%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	524	46¢ → 44¢	$233	−$7 −2.8%
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,923	6¢ → 9¢	$179	+$64 +56%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,434	5¢ → 11¢	$158	+$83 +111%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	No	206	75¢ → 73¢	$151	−$4 −2.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	626	21¢ → 22¢	$135	+$4 +2.9%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	165	57¢ → 79¢	$130	+$36 +38%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 256d	Yes	2,165	3¢ → 6¢	$127	+$57 +81%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	973	32¢ → 13¢	$126	−$183 −59%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	296	54¢ → 43¢	$126	−$35 −22%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Ends in 440d	Yes	190	63¢ → 63¢	$120	+$1 +0.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	175	71¢ → 63¢	$110	−$15 −12%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,627	2¢ → 7¢	$107	+$77 +260%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d	Yes	440	39¢ → 21¢	$90	−$81 −47%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,808	4¢ → 5¢	$89	+$12 +15%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Ends in 440d	No	187	40¢ → 43¢	$79	+$5 +6.4%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,608	5¢ → 4¢	$63	−$25 −28%
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	65	45¢ → 72¢	$47	+$17 +59%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	110	60¢ → 42¢	$46	−$20 −31%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Ends in 440d	Yes	79	61¢ → 57¢	$45	−$3 −6.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	161	54¢ → 24¢	$38	−$49 −56%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	25	92¢ → 97¢	$24	+$1 +5.9%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	313	<1¢ → 4¢	$13	+$12 +1267%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?Ends in 440d	Yes	141	3¢ → 8¢	$12	+$7 +163%
California Recall Election Reform PropositionEnds in 17d	Yes	20	48¢ → 46¢	$9	−$0 −4.2%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	339	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +179%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	2,101	74¢ → <1¢	$3	−$1,560 −100%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	152	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +375%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	413	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +190%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	115	12¢ → 2¢	$2	−$12 −85%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	9	2¢ → 5¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	53	2¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −77%
Will SB Energy's market cap be at least $125B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	158	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −75%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	7	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −26%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
43m	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	SellYes20¢	$249
44m	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	BuyYes24¢	$22
44m	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	BuyYes24¢	$2
49m	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	BuyYes17¢	$417
1h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	SellYes24¢	$489
1h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes26¢	$3
1h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes21¢	$863
1h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo45¢	$138
1h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes12¢	$0
1h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo45¢	$0
2h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo45¢	$90
2h	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo20¢	$3
2h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes5¢	$5
2h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes3¢	$3
2h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	SellYes61¢	$142
3h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$598
3h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo45¢	$30
5h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	SellYes22¢	$3
5h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes3¢	$1
5h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes5¢	$1
5h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes3¢	$1
5h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	SellNo83¢	$65
6h	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	SellYes64¢	$30
6h	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	SellNo88¢	$44
6h	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	SellYes72¢	$321
6h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo92¢	$614
6h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?	SellYes13¢	$101
6h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?	BuyYes11¢	$181
7h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo45¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?	SellYes10¢	$4
8h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	SellYes17¢	$7
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$10
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
8h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	SellYes17¢	$17
8h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	SellYes18¢	$9
8h	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	SellYes18¢	$5
8h	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	BuyYes60¢	$67
8h	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	SellYes64¢	$132
9h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	SellNo83¢	$82
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$20
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$10
11h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellYes71¢	$6
11h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes44¢	$48
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	SellNo83¢	$83
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes25¢	$25
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes25¢	$34
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	SellNo83¢	$47
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes25¢	$16
12h	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	SellNo83¢	$54
12h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	SellYes5¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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