| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 12,726 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $12,452 | +$351 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5,430 | −$50 −0.9% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5,310 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $5,206 | +$113 +2.2% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,275 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $4,669 | +$1,233 +36% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,045 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $4,403 | −$75 −1.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5,713 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $4,385 | +$355 +8.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4,358 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $4,179 | +$78 +1.9% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5,250 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $4,121 | −$326 −7.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,492 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $3,975 | +$449 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | −$20 −0.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,772 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $3,459 | +$226 +7.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,750 | 21¢ → 89¢ | $3,319 | +$2,530 +321% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,125 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,922 | +$47 +1.6% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 4,600 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $2,783 | −$475 −15% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,458 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $2,749 | +$333 +14% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,919 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $2,629 | −$159 −5.7% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 3,621 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $2,553 | −$89 −3.4% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,757 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $2,550 | +$178 +7.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,523 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $2,484 | −$33 −1.3% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,142 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $2,356 | +$588 +33% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,400 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2,342 | +$102 +4.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,317 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $2,155 | +$22 +1.0% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,127 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $2,076 | +$219 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,399 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $2,051 | +$178 +9.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,000 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $1,875 | −$5 −0.3% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $1,800 | +$350 +24% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,834 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $1,715 | +$193 +13% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,918 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $1,640 | +$78 +5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 2,187 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $1,554 | +$29 +1.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,691 | 62¢ → 91¢ | $1,539 | +$496 +48% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 13d | Nothing | 1,529 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,461 | +$43 +3.0% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 75d | No | 1,581 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,459 | +$42 +3.0% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,458 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $1,357 | +$149 +12% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,725 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $1,346 | +$98 +7.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,517 | 56¢ → 88¢ | $1,327 | +$481 +57% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,888 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $1,255 | +$240 +24% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $1,238 | +$23 +1.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,389 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $1,237 | +$149 +14% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,092 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,057 | +$25 +2.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 3,300 | 19¢ → 30¢ | $973 | +$348 +56% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 994 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $970 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,179 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $938 | +$57 +6.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,025 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $882 | +$121 +16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $765 | −$85 −10% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$5 +0.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 701 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $687 | +$10 +1.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 800 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $660 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $655 | +$115 +21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $645 | +$65 +11% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 670 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $630 | +$27 +4.4% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 673 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $623 | +$16 +2.7% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 46¢ → 59¢ | $590 | +$130 +28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,066 | 22¢ → 12¢ | $583 | −$514 −47% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $557 | +$66 +13% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 469 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $464 | +$28 +6.5% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 512 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $441 | +$28 +6.8% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 495 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $433 | −$5 −1.0% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 515 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $427 | +$9 +2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $415 | −$25 −5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $415 | −$25 −5.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 332 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $324 | +$28 +9.5% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 391 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $283 | −$45 −14% |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $238 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 228 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $224 | +$10 +4.5% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 246 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $187 | +$12 +7.0% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 183 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $181 | +$5 +2.7% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 181 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $179 | +$5 +2.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 176 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $174 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | No | 286 | 84¢ → 60¢ | $170 | −$70 −29% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 513 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $159 | −$17 −9.8% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,242 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $147 | −$48 −25% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,401 | 26¢ → 9¢ | $132 | −$229 −64% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 132 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $131 | +$3 +2.3% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 127 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $108 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 142 | 52¢ → 72¢ | $102 | +$28 +38% |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 95 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $95 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 92 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $88 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 84 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $82 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 83 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $80 | +$4 +5.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 83 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $79 | +$5 +7.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8,319 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $46 | −$232 −84% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Ends in 3d | No | 49 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $45 | +$11 +34% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 41 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$2 +6.9% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 825d | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $38 | +$7 +23% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 26 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $24 | +$3 +12% |
| Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $23 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 15¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +107% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,409 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,269 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$624 −100% |
