Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $2.5K | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  DFK2 fills | December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $5,525 | +$8 +0.1% | — |
| 1d |  Donny.T | December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $1,089 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 1d | Vietnam7 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo97¢ | $1,075 | −$3 −0.3% | 6 |
| 54d |  Trashbag | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,316 | +$17 +1.3% | 7 |
| 81d | BISTURI | Macron out by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,731 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | OLOTH2 fills | Macron out by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,652 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 109d | h00neyballzsports | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | synthnova | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 114d | liquidity19 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,113 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 114d | liquidity19 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 131d | neural69 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 133d | Rotten-Command6 fills | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,970 | +$565 +3.8% | 4 |
| 141d | C0CO | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 149d |  toufik-la-moula | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 151d | Trashbag | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,284 | +$27 +1.2% | 4 |
| 165d | MoneyDegen | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,139 | −$46 −1.5% | — |
| 182d | JuniorB2 fills | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,728 | −$294 −2.5% | — |
| 183d | OLOTH | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$84 +2.1% | 4 |
| 210d | TerreMoto | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | −$62 −3.7% | — |
| 241d | DFK3 fills | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,435 | −$495 −11% | — |
| 243d | tryingout12 fills | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,697 | −$173 −3.7% | — |
| 255d | MoneyDegen | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$56 +4.6% | 4 |
| 285d | JuniorB | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,475 | +$145 +4.2% | 4 |
| 286d | florian84 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 4 |
| 290d | StudentMoney | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,608 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,340 | −$22 −0.3% | — |
| 304d | DFK2 fills | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,071 | +$502 +9.9% | 4 |
| 304d | Rotten-Command | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo100¢ | $2,014 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 304d | BISTURI | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,726 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 305d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,281 | +$19 +0.6% | 4 |
| 305d |  Orwell8443 fills | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $32,044 | −$2,856 −8.9% | — |
| 314d | Donny.T | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 314d | FragMalDenRalle | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 315d | leqso0410 | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 316d | DFK4 fills | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,721 | +$295 +5.2% | 4 |
| 318d |  Erka-RoadTo1M | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$1,000 +11% | 4 |
| 319d | Rotten-Command3 fills | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,477 | +$167 +4.8% | 4 |
| 323d | tryingout1 | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
| 323d | tryingout1 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$198 +12% | 4 |
| 327d |  Polybius | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | +$105 +2.1% | 4 |
| 335d |  dududududu | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | −$36 −2.5% | — |
| 338d |  stockgold | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$104 +9.4% | 4 |
| 345d |  Str3sU | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$179 −18% | — |
| 346d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | −$63 −3.4% | — |
| 350d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,646 | +$179 +3.2% | 4 |
| 352d |  taut-dogwood | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,620 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 354d |  Tenteck | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 355d | TheRealWarMonger | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 355d | OLOTH | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,212 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 356d | L.........I | Macron out in 2025? | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $3,152 | +$3,152 +100% | — |
| 360d | Smoggy-Control | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$77 −7.5% | — |
| 363d | FragMalDenRalle3 fills | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,650 | +$461 +4.3% | 4 |
| 363d | Lisbon | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 363d | TheWolfOfPoly5 fills | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,685 | +$882 +10% | 4 |
| 364d |  DonAntimatter2 fills | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,057 | −$398 −7.9% | — |
| 366d | Tenteck | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,546 | +$43 +1.7% | 4 |
| 366d | DFK | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 367d | httpteapot | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$24 +1.5% | 4 |
| 368d | Orwell8442 fills | Macron out by October 31, 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,613 | −$467 −4.9% | — |
Rvfleuse1,040 shares
noblesse.oblige1,007 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 4%.
