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Polymarket wallet 0x53658df30e572ccffa0593653af5b7d7337c71fc · on Polymarket since Oct 1, 2024 · also shown as Sneaky-Arm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $975 | +$65 +7.1% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 12¢ | $29 | +$22 +316% |
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 15,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$22 −75% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$6 −78% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 39 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.