Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 18 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 13 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 14 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 15 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 16 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 17 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 19 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 20 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 21 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 22 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 23 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 24 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 25 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 26 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 27 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 28 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 29 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30+ | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 332d | zmmtest1 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,686 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | betastic | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | ims | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,729 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | Kalsot | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,843 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | DoMyDance | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,446 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | 0835208 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,291 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 332d |  poena | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 332d |  nnimrodd | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,615 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 332d |  JumpingJacks | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,469 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 333d | Winner123712 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,774 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 333d |  debased2 fills | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $39,997 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 333d |  adonpoli | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 333d |  JAHODA | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,245 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 333d |  Debosnys | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $95,516 | +$96 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | ltotheog | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,961 | −$44 −0.2% | — |
| 333d |  bamesjond2 fills | November 18 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,810 | +$437 +5.0% | 20 |
| 333d | debased2 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,630 | +$69 +0.4% | 20 |
| 333d | ltotheog | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,961 | +$44 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | lan031043 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,111 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 333d | adonpoli | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,992 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  MisTKy3 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $26,229 | −$53 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | bamesjond3 fills | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,043 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | sphinxshen | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,191 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | purpleunicorn | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,609 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | betterbetter | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | anonnn-. | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,803 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | johnwicks | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,949 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  gambler13 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  oliintoon | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,215 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | yupiiiiiiiii | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,687 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | sigggggggggsegvvvvvvv | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,780 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 333d | sigggggggggsegvvvvvvv | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,788 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  Snow-White | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $35,646 | −$71 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | crypt0savage | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,053 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | tgrdy2 fills | November 18 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,190 | −$815 −5.0% | — |
| 333d |  GayPride | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,520 | +$23 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,336 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | lan031043 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,112 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | nothingbutlove4 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $124,148 | +$184 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | hayason2 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,253 | +$55 +0.4% | 20 |
| 333d |  jixiang1 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,101 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  GollumGekko3 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,492 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  degenGambler8888 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,280 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | jerryuni | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,217 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 333d |  GoldenCoins2 fills | November 18 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,834 | +$294 +3.8% | 20 |
| 333d |  richsmith | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,800 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 333d | Snow-White5 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,887 | +$74 +0.3% | 20 |
| 333d |  MoMBonds | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,443 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | ff1235 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,038 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  fElon | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  b4k9xj2wh23 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,299 | +$180 +0.4% | 20 |
| 333d | fazza3 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,176 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 333d | zmmtest1 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,683 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | fengduyidingying123 | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,008 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d |  Alphax2 fills | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,386 | +$65 +0.4% | 20 |
| 333d | Nonstop-Bulk | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,423 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | leewin | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,809 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 333d | qwe258 | November 18 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,482 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 333d | MAGURO3 fills | November 18 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,671 | +$156 +0.6% | 20 |
| 333d |  Aragorn-II | November 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,977 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
NiHaoFineShyt240,485 shares
GM.182,496 sharesThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for November 18 means the market gives it about 100%.