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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 6% | −3 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | $908 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d | OLOTH | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 112d | BISTURI | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,834 | +$30 +0.3% | 10 |
| 115d | synthlogic | French election called by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 115d | synthlogic | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 259d | DarrenRussell6340 | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$209 +16% | 10 |
| 262d | OliviaCarter9815 | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$233 +22% | 10 |
| 293d | nedsta | French election called by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,380 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 310d | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$26 +2.0% | 10 | |
| 314d | user12449 | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,770 | +$146 +5.3% | 10 |
| 317d | goingsocial | French election called by December 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | −$132 −7.7% | — |
| 329d | diablo324 | French election called by November 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 |
| 345d | NSYGG | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$725 +24% | 10 |
| 345d | Healingriver | French election called by December 31? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$546 −42% | — |
| 350d | French election called by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,412 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 352d | mybigmoney | French election called by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,989 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 355d | French election called by October 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | +$46 +2.6% | 10 | |
| 366d | OLOTH | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,113 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 366d | cezarn1323 fills | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,287 | +$1,358 +26% | 10 |
| 366d | cezarn1322 fills | French election called by October 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,410 | +$232 +4.3% | 10 |
| 366d | hopefulli2 fills | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,814 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 366d | magol | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,741 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 366d | Hspectero | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,944 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 366d | itsluck2 fills | French election called by October 17? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | −$76 −3.6% | — |
| 366d | Bweely | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$135 +5.5% | 11 |
| 366d | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,447 | +$287 +5.3% | 11 | |
| 367d | cezarn132 | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$88 +3.6% | 10 |
| 369d | French election called by December 31? | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 10 | |
| 369d | Ulysse31 | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$322 +22% | 11 |
| 370d | Urwelcom | French election called by October 17? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | −$651 −30% | — |
| 371d | gensoc | French election called by October 17? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | −$1,023 −100% | 12 |
| 371d | BobbyB | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,194 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 371d | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,961 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 372d | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,521 | +$274 +7.8% | 12 | |
| 372d | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$195 +7.0% | 12 | |
| 372d | Sour-Astrakhan | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$31 +2.1% | 11 |
| 372d | Bukaj | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$74 +1.1% | 10 |
| 373d | acrx999 | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$90 +4.7% | 11 |
| 373d | gensoc | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,744 | +$487 +18% | 10 |
| 373d | sasch71 | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$223 +19% | 10 |
| 373d | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$63 +2.1% | 10 | |
| 373d | teamprox | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,245 | +$65 +0.7% | 10 |
| 373d | polybet | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$26 +2.0% | 10 |
| 373d | gensoc3 fills | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,650 | +$484 +5.0% | 11 |
| 373d | Naropoly2 fills | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,161 | +$283 +3.1% | 10 |
| 374d | French election called by October 10? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | −$734 −41% | — | |
| 378d | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$176 +17% | 10 | |
| 395d | rezarah | French election called by December 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$158 +15% | 10 |
| 402d | Thiou | French election called by September 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | +$25 +0.8% | 10 |
| 402d | igeniu | French election called by September 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$14 +1.3% | 10 |
| 402d | French election called by September 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$16 +1.4% | 10 | |
| 402d | rezarah | French election called by September 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$10 +1.0% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 6%.