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Polymarket wallet 0x4baf4239188fb0b708e4d16872986e1fa9af5fdf · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2024 · also shown as Unwritten-Quiet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 9,189 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $8,968 | +$624 +7.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,948 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $7,203 | −$134 −1.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5,759 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $5,523 | +$225 +4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,190 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $4,697 | −$128 −2.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,028 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $3,012 | +$59 +2.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18,296 | 88¢ → 11¢ | $2,013 | −$14,127 −88% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $389 | +$5 +1.2% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 53¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$2 +87% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 85¢ → 73¢ | $4 | −$1 −15% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.