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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chopsticks catch Starship? | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| September 30 | 100% | +15 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Super Heavy booster explodes? | 100% | +18 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 256d |
| August 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| September 19 | 0% | 0 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 26 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Successful splash down? | 100% | +12 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 256d |
| August 22 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 14d |
| September 28 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 29 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | 5555five2 fills | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,823 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d | Hull | Super Heavy booster explodes? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,209 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d |  OraculumNobius | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,627 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d | OraculumNobius | Super Heavy booster explodes? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d | 5555five | Super Heavy booster explodes? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,638 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 19d |  AgricultureSecretary | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,007 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 19d | SebRedBull2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$68 +2.4% | 20 |
| 19d | Humble-Prey2 fills | Super Heavy booster explodes? | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 7 |
| 27d |  Vanquish2 fills | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,520 | +$480 +3.1% | 4 |
| 30d | Blowme_Wan_Kenobi | September 26 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$589 +57% | 20 |
| 30d |  Rr55 | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 4 |
| 31d |  double7 | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$33 +3.1% | 4 |
| 31d |  Oompa-Loompa | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 4 |
| 31d | 0xD03CdFBAb84De34A9C365BE2198571E6fb5C3F4 | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 31d | Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 31d | 1walrus2 fills | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,700 | +$300 +3.1% | 4 |
| 32d |  GonTanaka | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $100,000 | +$3,093 +3.1% | 4 |
| 34d |  nellojello2 fills | September 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,272 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 35d |  Hakei. | September 30 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$186 +17% | 20 |
| 35d | Hakei. | September 19 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,304 | −$1,304 −100% | 21 |
| 36d | Coordinated-Leather | September 15 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 39d | Orion96 | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$619 +3.1% | 4 |
| 45d | Coordinated-Leather | Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$58 +5.3% | 4 |
| 46d | Coordinated-Leather | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,884 | +$61 +3.2% | 4 |
| 47d | bshardy | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,170 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 51d | GonTanaka3 fills | Super Heavy booster explodes? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $9,494 | +$2,440 +26% | 4 |
| 55d | Batundi | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $210,268 | +$6,503 +3.1% | 4 |
| 56d | GonTanaka | August 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,223 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 57d | SweetChariot | Chopsticks catch Starship? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | −$106 −5.0% | — |
| 58d |  TrickyWicky | Chopsticks catch Starship? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$614 +31% | 4 |
| 61d | SweetChariot | August 31 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | −$233 −14% | — |
| 72d | Hakei. | August 31 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | −$1,062 −100% | 20 |
Joe-Biden394,186 shares
Mr.Frog🐸4,000 shares
yaox72,795 shares
labistiiia1,000 sharesOompa-Loompa3,000 shares
Cheddar-Factory1,500 sharesThis is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chopsticks catch Starship? means the market gives it about 0%.