| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,700 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $2,525 | +$533 +27% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,240 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $1,023 | +$69 +7.2% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,388 | 53¢ → 60¢ | $826 | +$91 +12% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $755 | −$56 −6.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 800 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $749 | +$63 +9.2% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 7¢ → 70¢ | $701 | +$631 +898% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 619 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $529 | +$28 +5.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,401 | 61¢ → 37¢ | $525 | −$331 −39% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 716 | 51¢ → 71¢ | $508 | +$146 +40% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $487 | +$39 +8.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $384 | +$76 +25% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $338 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 67¢ | $333 | −$39 −10% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 375 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $328 | +$58 +22% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 390 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $310 | +$10 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 800 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $292 | −$92 −24% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$23 +8.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 600 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $285 | −$39 −12% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 480 | 32¢ → 58¢ | $278 | +$124 +81% |
| Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 360 | 61¢ → 77¢ | $277 | +$58 +26% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 320 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $270 | +$8 +3.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $258 | −$12 −4.5% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 256d | Yes | 575 | 22¢ → 45¢ | $256 | +$131 +105% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $230 | −$20 −8.1% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 415 | 65¢ → 55¢ | $229 | −$41 −15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 50¢ → 38¢ | $225 | −$73 −24% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 800 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $220 | −$40 −15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 320 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $218 | +$48 +28% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 350 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $198 | −$30 −13% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 339 | 44¢ → 56¢ | $188 | +$38 +26% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $154 | +$35 +29% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 378 | 53¢ → 35¢ | $131 | −$70 −35% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 600 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $129 | −$21 −14% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 34¢ → 39¢ | $116 | +$14 +13% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 28¢ → 34¢ | $101 | +$17 +21% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,000 | 65¢ → 10¢ | $95 | −$552 −85% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 250 | 72¢ → 38¢ | $95 | −$84 −47% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $82 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 97 | 33¢ → 84¢ | $81 | +$49 +154% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 143 | 81¢ → 53¢ | $75 | −$41 −35% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 53¢ → 14¢ | $68 | −$198 −75% |
| All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 326 | 58¢ → 20¢ | $64 | −$124 −66% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | Yes | 117 | 55¢ → 52¢ | $61 | −$4 −5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 217 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $60 | −$19 −24% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 280 | 48¢ → 16¢ | $43 | −$92 −68% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$31 −43% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 110 | 39¢ → 34¢ | $37 | −$5 −13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | Yes | 35 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 330 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $18 | −$25 −58% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 50¢ → 16¢ | $8 | −$17 −69% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 40 | 44¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$13 −75% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$37 −92% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 729 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$8 −72% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 70 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −34% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 57 | 35¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$19 −95% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$530 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,625 −100% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 204 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 832 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$662 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 900 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,551 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Rachel peak at Category 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 280 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 90 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Income Tax" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Dell" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 895 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,794 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$275 −100% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 971 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,260 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$659 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 288 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Rachel peak at Category 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
