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Polymarket wallet 0xc6217afdd1b0438d8e1387ef089017371d33a5ff · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Quixotic-Secretary
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macron out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 937 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $937 | +$56 +6.4% |
| French election called by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| French election called by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,442 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$501 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 360d | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $881 |
| 360d | French election called by December 31? | BuyYes35¢ | $501 |
| 373d | French election called by October 17? | BuyNo84¢ | $1,159 |
| 400d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $25 |
| 400d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 400d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $19 |
| 405d | France debt downgrade by December 31? | BuyYes54¢ | $12 |
| 407d | French election called by September 15? | BuyYes7¢ | $11 |
| 407d | Bayrou out as French PM by September 30? | BuyYes97¢ | $56 |
| 407d | Israel strike on Yemen by September 5? | BuyNo89¢ | $128 |
| 415d | Israel strike on Damascus by August 31? | BuyNo88¢ | $241 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.