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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Penn | 100% | +1 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stellan Skarsgård | 0% | −1 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mescal | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Sandler | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremy Strong | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Delroy Lindo | 0% | −1 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Akira Emoto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miles Caton | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Garfield | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacob Elordi | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack O'Connell | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sean Bean | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diego Luna | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jonathan Bailey | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peter Dinklage | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Benicio Del Toro | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | SweetChariot | Stellan Skarsgård | SellNo>99¢ | $1,362 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | peepeepooppoop | Stellan Skarsgård | SellNo>99¢ | $1,585 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | chenmocm | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | EscalateFund | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Yalokin | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $9,886 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Realsandman | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $1,804 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Boardwalk | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $3,302 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | HappyFamily | Sean Penn | SellYes>99¢ | $1,071 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Pandaprotect | Sean Penn | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 215d |  noreasapa | Jacob Elordi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,992 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  NotSoEasyMoney | Sean Penn | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 215d | NeoWick | Benicio Del Toro | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,164 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | NeoWick | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,108 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | meropi | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$55 +5.0% | 20 |
| 215d | Pandaprotect | Sean Penn | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$126 +6.3% | 20 |
| 215d | Realsandman | Sean Penn | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$206 +13% | 20 |
| 215d | BratyaKaramazov2 fills | Sean Penn | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,525 | +$1,486 +33% | 22 |
| 215d | Yalokin | Sean Penn | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$1,896 +24% | 20 |
| 215d | YontyBull | Sean Penn | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 215d | Predictandbreathe | Sean Penn | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$1,111 +28% | 20 |
| 216d | Melody6262 fills | Sean Penn | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$988 +28% | 26 |
| 216d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Sean Penn | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 21 |
| 216d | Rapid-ClimateNew account | Sean Penn | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$532 +27% | 31 |
| 216d | inspektorkek | Stellan Skarsgård | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,912 | −$1,912 −100% | 24 |
| 216d |  AML2 fills | Sean Penn | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,048 | +$2,908 +29% | 20 |
| 216d | PhdZack | Sean Penn | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 20 |
| 217d |  Boss7 | Benicio Del Toro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 217d | Boss7 | Jacob Elordi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,370 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 217d | 0x3db6…f164 | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | −$26 −1.1% | — |
| 217d | festival7202 fills | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | −$239 −9.0% | — |
| 217d | craftScrub | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$140 −9.4% | — |
| 217d | noteTrophy | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$138 +9.4% | 22 |
| 217d | sun-joke2 fills | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$237 +9.2% | 21 |
| 217d | craftScrub | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$140 +9.4% | 22 |
| 217d | fosterjh12 | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$110 +9.4% | 22 |
| 217d | sudden-assist | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$108 +9.4% | 22 |
| 217d | candy27 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | −$140 −9.3% | — |
| 217d | Dangerdecrease | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | −$181 −10% | — |
| 217d | Dangerdecrease | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | +$179 +10% | 22 |
| 217d | transferWant | Delroy Lindo | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$121 +10% | 22 |
| 217d | noteTrophy | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$142 −9.8% | — |
| 217d | extendBody | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$146 −9.8% | — |
| 217d | fosterjh12 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | −$113 −9.8% | — |
| 217d | filmClutch | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$105 −9.8% | — |
| 217d | Light42 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$114 −10% | — |
| 217d | Step-Powder | Delroy Lindo | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$110 −10% | — |
| 217d | petjc65 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$100 −8.5% | — |
| 217d | clown-enemy | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | −$113 −8.5% | — |
| 217d | creekcp65 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$104 −8.5% | — |
| 217d | off435 | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | −$136 −8.5% | — |
| 217d | very-stool | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | −$19 −1.2% | — |
| 217d | inputSlam | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 217d | fitness23 | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | −$20 −1.2% | — |
| 217d | ostrich.learn.orient | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 217d | deputy.buzz.keep | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$106 −9.2% | — |
| 217d | nut-true-minute | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$99 −9.2% | — |
| 217d | involve-claim | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$146 −9.2% | — |
| 217d | coolxu112 fills | Delroy Lindo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,587 | −$329 −9.2% | — |
| 217d | Fringert36 | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 217d | townwl53 | Benicio Del Toro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
Dottor.Ravioli15 shares
Avarice3114,431 shares
ImJustKen8,101 shares
WongKimArk4,000 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sean Penn means the market gives it about 100%.