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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After March 31 | 100% | +10 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Before February 16 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 16-19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 20-23 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 24-27 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28-March 3 | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 4-7 | 0% | −3 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 8-11 | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 12-15 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 16-19 | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 20-23 | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 24-27 | 0% | 0 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 28-31 | 0% | 0 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | FlyingPlaty | March 28-31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,162 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 201d |  cambridgeisaac | After March 31 | SellYes100¢ | $1,160 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 201d |  Dapsy | After March 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | −$45 −1.5% | — |
| 201d |  DirkDiggler672 fills | After March 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $6,069 | +$573 +9.4% | 5 |
| 202d | realizedlosses | After March 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | −$139 −3.5% | — |
| 202d | JoseB144 | After March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$31 +2.1% | 4 |
| 203d | Alive-Gumshoe | After March 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$29 −2.5% | — |
| 203d | unwillingly-public2 fills | After March 31 | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $12,160 | +$42,789 +352% | 17 |
| 203d |  bernardbulletin | March 24-27 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$54 +4.2% | 4 |
| 203d | unwillingly-public | March 24-27 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$96 +3.2% | 4 |
| 204d |  qjrPM1 | March 24-27 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$586 −41% | — |
| 204d | qjrPM1 | After March 31 | SellYes14¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$6,867 −606% | — |
| 204d |  ComingBack3 fills | March 24-27 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$1,049 +15% | 5 |
| 204d | M888 | After March 31 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,704 | −$1,704 −100% | 6 |
| 204d | unwillingly-public2 fills | After March 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $4,320 | −$4,320 −100% | 6 |
| 204d | Short-Term-MammothNew account | After March 31 | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | −$3,244 −180% | — |
| 204d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | After March 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$745 +36% | 6 |
| 204d |  WarriorPooh2 fills | After March 31 | SellNo39¢ → 0¢ | $4,639 | +$4,639 +100% | — |
| 205d | Short-Term-MammothNew account | After March 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,678 +42% | 21 |
| 205d | spamabunch2 fills | After March 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$1,096 +49% | 6 |
| 206d | DirkDiggler673 fills | After March 31 | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $8,480 | −$8,480 −100% | 6 |
| 206d | 8811123 fills | After March 31 | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $7,214 | +$7,214 +100% | — |
| 206d |  LeopoldArschenbrenner | After March 31 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,194 | −$4,194 −100% | 6 |
| 207d | WarriorPooh | After March 31 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 207d | FlyingPlaty3 fills | March 20-23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,560 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 211d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | March 16-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,924 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 215d | nut2241 | March 20-23 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$21 +1.6% | 4 |
| 215d | qiezee3 fills | After March 31 | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $12,786 | +$12,786 +100% | — |
| 215d | baisui | After March 31 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $6,795 | −$2,205 −32% | — |
| 217d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | March 12-15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,809 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 217d | cos52 fills | After March 31 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $4,042 | +$4,042 +100% | — |
| 218d | qiezee3 fills | After March 31 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $11,432 | −$11,432 −100% | 14 |
| 218d | lianany | After March 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $15,664 | +$6,336 +40% | 4 |
| 219d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | March 8-11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,752 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 220d | toooq | March 8-11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 220d | islom | After March 31 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $14,903 | −$11,197 −75% | — |
| 220d | trunbu | After March 31 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $14,132 | −$10,618 −75% | — |
| 221d | realizedlosses | After March 31 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$900 +39% | 4 |
| 221d | trunbu | After March 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $16,756 | +$7,994 +48% | 4 |
| 221d | islom | After March 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $17,670 | +$8,430 +48% | 4 |
| 222d | siren.clown.will | March 12-15 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 222d | clockFee | March 12-15 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | −$35 −2.8% | — |
| 224d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | March 4-7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,073 | +$85 +0.4% | 4 |
| 224d | VAMPIER | March 4-7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,444 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | jjlin89757 | February 28-March 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | wtffffffffking | February 28-March 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,058 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | lilingling123 | After March 31 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $11,256 | −$9,744 −87% | — |
| 229d | publicesefpp | After March 31 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $15,919 | −$13,781 −87% | — |
| 229d | dogeisbig | After March 31 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $16,616 | −$14,384 −87% | — |
| 229d | spordsde | After March 31 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $15,008 | −$12,992 −87% | — |
| 229d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | February 28-March 3 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,262 | +$18 +0.5% | 4 |
| 231d | lilingling123 | After March 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $12,096 | +$8,904 +74% | 4 |
| 231d | spordsde | After March 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $16,128 | +$11,872 +74% | 4 |
| 231d | publicesefpp | After March 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $17,107 | +$12,593 +74% | 4 |
| 231d | dogeisbig | After March 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $17,856 | +$13,144 +74% | 4 |
| 231d | FlyingPlaty | February 24-27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,361 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 232d | yangyangj | After March 31 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $19,999 | −$16,101 −81% | — |
| 232d | lanpangzi | After March 31 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $14,623 | −$11,677 −80% | — |
| 232d | papacesdiok | After March 31 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $19,960 | −$15,940 −80% | — |
| 233d | lanpangzi | After March 31 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $14,999 | +$11,501 +77% | 4 |
WongKimArk1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for After March 31 means the market gives it about 100%.