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Polymarket wallet 0xa4f764cfc1b1f73fbef89c4c94dd4e9e94f7c39d · on Polymarket since Nov 26, 2024 · also shown as Straight-Sponsorship
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 40¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$113 +140% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $88 | +$17 +25% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87d | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BuyNo67¢ | $70 |
| 170d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SellYes58¢ | $35 |
| 173d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $34 |
| 173d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $48 |
| 173d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $22 |
| 229d | Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | SellYes54¢ | $16,616 |
| 231d | Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | BuyYes58¢ | $17,856 |
| 361d | Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31? | BuyYes56¢ | $101 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.