| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,071 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $4,285 | +$10 +0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,000 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $2,715 | +$15 +0.6% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 400 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $376 | +$8 +2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 368 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $298 | −$11 −3.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?Ends in 16d | Yes | 300 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$28 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 300 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $286 | +$19 +7.3% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $280 | +$19 +7.5% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 300 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $278 | +$20 +7.6% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$17 +6.4% |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $252 | −$12 −4.5% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 88¢ → 68¢ | $204 | −$59 −22% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$29 +17% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$25 +16% |
| Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Ends in 246d | No | 190 | 47¢ → 95¢ | $180 | +$90 +101% |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$10 +6.0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$18 +11% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$19 +12% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$3 +1.8% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$8 +4.9% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 87d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $169 | +$29 +20% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$7 +4.4% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $165 | +$18 +12% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $165 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $165 | +$5 +3.1% |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$11 +7.6% |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $153 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $151 | −$19 −11% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 300 | 61¢ → 50¢ | $150 | −$33 −18% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Ends in 10h | Yes | 150 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $150 | +$45 +43% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $148 | −$12 −7.5% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 173 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $148 | +$9 +6.9% |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $147 | −$13 −8.1% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $147 | −$13 −8.1% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 150 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$39 +36% |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 160 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $145 | +$20 +16% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Ends in 440d | Yes | 150 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $145 | +$40 +38% |
| Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 72¢ | $143 | −$19 −12% |
| Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?Ends in 92d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $141 | +$13 +10% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 10h | Yes | 150 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $141 | +$48 +52% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Ends in 17d | No | 196 | 82¢ → 72¢ | $140 | −$21 −13% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $137 | +$22 +19% |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?Ends in 3d | No | 150 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $136 | +$31 +30% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $136 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $131 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 150 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $131 | +$19 +17% |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 18d | No | 139 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $131 | +$42 +47% |
| Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 150 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $130 | +$23 +22% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 150 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $130 | +$14 +12% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $126 | +$8 +6.3% |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 148 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $126 | +$28 +29% |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $125 | +$14 +13% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 200 | 85¢ → 63¢ | $125 | −$45 −26% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 10h | Yes | 150 | 60¢ → 83¢ | $124 | +$34 +38% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 136 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $123 | −$3 −2.5% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $123 | +$11 +9.9% |
| Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 128 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $122 | +$38 +45% |
| Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 150 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $122 | +$26 +27% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 149 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $121 | +$19 +18% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $121 | +$17 +16% |
| Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $119 | +$11 +10% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $115 | +$7 +6.3% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $7.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $113 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?Ends in 256d | Yes | 160 | 55¢ → 71¢ | $113 | +$25 +28% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 189 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $112 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $112 | −$2 −2.0% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 150 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $112 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $110 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $110 | −$4 −3.3% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $109 | −$10 −8.4% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $107 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 254 | 60¢ → 42¢ | $107 | −$46 −30% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 18d | Yes | 150 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $107 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 150 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $105 | +$14 +15% |
| Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 52¢ | $104 | −$28 −21% |
| Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 130 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $103 | +$11 +11% |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 150 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $102 | +$3 +3.0% |
| Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 128 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $102 | −$7 −6.5% |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 471d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $100 | −$10 −8.9% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 150 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $99 | +$8 +8.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 150 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $98 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 150 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $97 | −$8 −7.9% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 150 | 50¢ → 65¢ | $97 | +$22 +29% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?Ends in 280d | No | 117 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $97 | +$24 +33% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 150 | 80¢ → 64¢ | $97 | −$23 −19% |
| Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 150 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $96 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $96 | −$12 −11% |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 21d | No | 200 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $95 | −$21 −18% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 150 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $95 | −$5 −4.5% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $94 | −$8 −8.1% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Ends in 2d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $94 | −$16 −14% |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$8 +9.7% |
| Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 105 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $91 | +$12 +15% |
| Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 150 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $91 | −$10 −9.7% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 61¢ | $91 | −$20 −18% |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 150 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $91 | −$10 −9.7% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 150 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $89 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 287d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$4 +4.1% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 160 | 73¢ → 55¢ | $88 | −$29 −25% |
