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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Giertuga | 37% | −2 pts | −8 pts | 36¢ · 38¢ (2¢) | — | in 9d |
| Aldo Ruberto | 32% | −3 pts | +6 pts | 18¢ · 45¢ (27¢) | — | in 9d |
| Moe Comuzzi | 26% | — | +1 pts | 20¢ · 31¢ (11¢) | — | in 9d |
| Clinton Harris | 1% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 9d |
| Volker Kromm | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 9d |
| Donald Baxter | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 9d |
| Peter Mark John Diedrich | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 9d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | KiernanMeister | Volker Kromm | BuyNo80¢ → 99¢ | $1,115 | +$275 +25% | 10 |
paddaa483 shares
toolatebuddy503 shares
Dapsy150 shares
DontBeScared54 sharesThe 2026 Thunder Bay, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Thunder Bay, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Thunder Bay, Ontario.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 37¢ for Trevor Giertuga means the market gives it about 37%.