| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40,369 | 35¢ → 89¢ | $35,928 | +$21,876 +156% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 10,361 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $9,688 | +$2,736 +39% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 7,823 | 45¢ → 93¢ | $7,275 | +$3,721 +105% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8,061 | 41¢ → 84¢ | $6,731 | +$3,405 +102% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 7,157 | 8¢ → 94¢ | $6,691 | +$6,086 +1005% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14,602 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $2,263 | −$1 −0.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,087 | 56¢ → 12¢ | $1,390 | −$5,397 −80% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,012 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $815 | +$70 +9.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,071 | 25¢ → 12¢ | $698 | −$832 −54% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,179 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $206 | −$6 −2.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,000 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $155 | −$1,283 −89% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 36¢ → 13¢ | $125 | −$237 −66% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 107 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$70 +210% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 520 | 47¢ → 17¢ | $88 | −$155 −64% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $80 | −$51 −39% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 361 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $43 | −$2 −3.9% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 73 | 64¢ → 14¢ | $10 | −$37 −79% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,361 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$496 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,445 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,473 −100% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,111 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 902 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$555 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 92,825 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,291 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73,553 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,806 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,513 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$745 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 496 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$270 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,086 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$324 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,648 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$765 −100% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,671 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,715 −100% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,949 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,257 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,211 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$998 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,941 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,074 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,119 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$303 −100% |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,570 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$948 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 247,923 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,844 −100% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,192 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,434 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,193 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27,907 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,125 −100% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,347 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$332 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,692 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,547 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,959 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,243 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,268 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26,559 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,174 −100% |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" at the Military Mothers event?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 961 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$313 −100% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,227 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,593 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$759 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31,701 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9,355 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29,128 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,209 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,241 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,515 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,761 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,820 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,429 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$303 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,723 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$268 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 114,507 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18,544 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,730 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$835 −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97,486 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,939 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,505 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,082 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,666 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,413 −100% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,736 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$483 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 742 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92,730 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9,294 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39,393 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,198 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,380 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,778 −100% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 426 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,445 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,001 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,250 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$441 −100% |
| Will Trump say "UFC" during June 24 Rally?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,020 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183,727 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,755 −100% |
| Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 198 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,678 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$303 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,325 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,800 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,229 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$725 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83,500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,738 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,584 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$136 −100% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 197 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,118 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$309 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 328 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 472 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,460 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 809 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57,781 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,598 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 660 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,407 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$818 −100% |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 508 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,631 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$780 −100% |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 831 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$419 −100% |
| Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 811 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$473 −100% |
