Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fraud / Fraudulent | 100% | +38 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +39 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran / Iranian 20+ times | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Interfere / Interference | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden 5+ times | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Communist | 100% | +33 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear 15+ times | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World Cup | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crooked | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Make America Great Again | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Middle East | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Annihilated / Annihilating | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92d |  yen4u | Interfere / Interference | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,130 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 92d |  WarriorPooh | China | SellYes>99¢ | $1,689 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 92d |  Barboncino | Fake News | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 20 |
| 92d | fauxios | China | SellYes>99¢ | $1,322 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 92d | fauxios | China | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 92d |  AgricultureSecretary | China | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$36 +2.6% | 20 |
| 92d |  BipBop | China | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$96 +5.3% | 20 |
| 92d | Elaborate-Particular | Iran / Iranian 20+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$52 +4.8% | 20 |
| 92d | Elaborate-Particular | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$145 +12% | 20 |
| 92d | CrazyArab | China | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$93 +8.7% | 20 |
| 92d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Interfere / Interference | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$563 +35% | 20 |
| 92d |  Bertapotamous | Nuclear 15+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$36 +2.6% | 20 |
| 92d | rollobravado | Fraud / Fraudulent | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$808 +48% | 20 |
| 92d |  GayPride | China | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | +$259 +11% | 20 |
| 92d | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Maduro | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 20 |
| 92d | Barboncino | Fraud / Fraudulent | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 20 |
| 92d |  LlamaLoco0000 | Fraud / Fraudulent | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$823 +59% | 20 |
| 92d | canti55 | Fraud / Fraudulent | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$803 +59% | 30 |
| 93d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,047 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 93d |  turtle911 | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$26 +1.6% | 20 |
KingZeManel590 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Transgender means the market gives it about 100%.