| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 55,021 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $34,388 | +$3,716 +12% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 30,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $27,450 | −$50 −0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 34,812 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $22,454 | +$2,671 +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 35,000 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $9,625 | −$525 −5.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 46,560 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $9,079 | −$1,536 −14% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10,485 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $8,089 | +$1,106 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 10,000 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $6,250 | −$350 −5.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 26,462 | 19¢ → 23¢ | $6,152 | +$1,214 +25% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 21,356 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $5,019 | +$108 +2.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10,000 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $4,655 | −$161 −3.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 4,755 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $3,851 | +$550 +17% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,643 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $3,612 | +$390 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,659 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $3,178 | −$438 −12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,926 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,860 | +$30 +1.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50,847 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $2,822 | −$2,861 −50% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 40,000 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $2,600 | +$570 +28% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $2,500 | −$100 −3.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $2,500 | +$94 +3.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,000 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $2,490 | −$330 −12% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,283 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $2,278 | −$124 −5.2% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,285 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $2,227 | +$302 +16% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,000 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $2,120 | −$120 −5.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 13,792 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $2,069 | −$176 −7.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,350 | 32¢ → 39¢ | $2,060 | +$364 +21% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,140 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $1,831 | −$501 −21% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +11% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 18,000 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $1,620 | −$180 −10% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,008 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $1,577 | −$139 −8.1% |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,247 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,225 | +$54 +4.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,000 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $1,125 | +$255 +29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,000 | 30¢ → 37¢ | $1,095 | +$195 +22% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 994 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $869 | +$154 +22% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,064 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $758 | +$126 +20% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,400 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $707 | −$242 −26% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 36,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $684 | +$397 +138% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 728 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $648 | +$177 +38% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,000 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $620 | +$100 +19% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 655 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $599 | +$171 +40% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8,078 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $565 | −$358 −39% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,217 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $543 | +$68 +14% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $530 | −$10 −1.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10,500 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $378 | +$11 +2.9% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $360 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8,436 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $346 | −$207 −37% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | No | 8,883 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $320 | −$753 −70% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 1,168 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $310 | −$97 −24% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 295 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $285 | +$31 +12% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$23 +8.6% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,343 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $257 | −$50 −16% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 435 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $202 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | No | 4,369 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $197 | −$213 −52% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 218 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $192 | +$36 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $190 | +$30 +19% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $190 | +$70 +58% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12,837 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $186 | −$471 −72% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 280 | 50¢ → 66¢ | $185 | +$45 +32% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,396 | 31¢ → 8¢ | $180 | −$562 −76% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 176 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $173 | +$10 +6.1% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,000 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $165 | −$105 −39% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 784 | 45¢ → 21¢ | $165 | −$185 −53% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 798 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $132 | −$28 −18% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 556 | 37¢ → 16¢ | $89 | −$117 −57% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 2,817 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $89 | −$524 −86% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,721 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $55 | −$181 −77% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 145 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $41 | +$7 +22% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $36 | −$67 −65% |
| Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 16¢ → 80¢ | $25 | +$20 +402% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $22 | +$4 +23% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 1,360 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $18 | −$14 −44% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 38 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $15 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 312 | 24¢ → 5¢ | $14 | −$60 −81% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,000 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$106 −88% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 745 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$35 −75% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 106 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$15 −63% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$12 −69% |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$15 −83% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Ends in 105d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | +$2 +200% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$15 −86% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$2 −82% |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,211 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$429 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 452 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 194 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,166 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
