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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $977 | in 14d |
| December 31 | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $332 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d |  yen4u2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $10,325 | +$50 +0.5% | 21 |
| 12d | keepsfailingupwards | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,561 | −$1 −0.1% | 20 |
| 14d | yen4u2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $4,950 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 16d | 0xc5bf…6271 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,065 | +$6 +0.2% | — |
| 17d | Another-Allowance | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,379 | +$7 +0.2% | — |
| 19d | tphhh | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,595 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 20d |  Belgaron | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,649 | +$3 +0.2% | — |
| 20d | 4e2fbc2acf2 fills | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,761 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 24d | 4e2fbc2acf3 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,823 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 26d | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd4 | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,332 | −$35 −1.5% | — |
| 26d | yen4u2 fills | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,440 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 28d | zwxokx2 | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $5,142 | −$39 −0.8% | — |
| 28d |  probability | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,319 | +$10 +0.8% | 21 |
| 28d | Rapid-Jicama | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 33d |  iForgor2 fills | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | −$19 −0.5% | — |
| 33d | Rapid-Jicama | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,458 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 34d |  kugi365 | December 31 | SellYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,706 | −$46 −2.7% | — |
| 34d | 4e2fbc2acf | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,331 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 35d | bbplig | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 36d | AlmostNoAwareness | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,127 | +$3 +0.1% | — |
| 37d | bbplig | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 37d | market0902262 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,737 | −$6 −0.2% | 20 |
| 37d | lokdin | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,394 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 37d | SleeperHunter2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $3,214 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 37d | yen4u | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,264 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 37d | yen4u | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,961 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 37d | 4e2fbc2acf4 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,166 | −$17 −0.1% | 20 |
| 37d |  joshyuen | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,713 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 37d | mamai | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 37d | SleeperHunter | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | +$22 +1.0% | 20 |
| 37d |  hampstar | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → >99¢ | $3,000 | +$162 +5.4% | 24 |
| 37d | 0xc5bf…6271 | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,669 | +$40 +2.4% | 22 |
| 38d | 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | −$496 −18% | — |
| 38d | potatobrahh | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,940 | +$52 +2.7% | 22 |
| 38d |  Dr.mett | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,057 | +$30 +2.8% | 22 |
| 38d |  Chungvicular | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,278 | +$722 +17% | 20 |
| 38d | hell0pia | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,221 | −$2,221 −100% | 20 |
| 38d | katbot | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 39d |  Optimus-2 fills | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,160 | +$1,619 +39% | 20 |
| 39d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | December 31 | SellYes96¢ → >99¢ | $3,321 | −$115 −3.5% | — |
| 39d | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd4 | October 31 | BuyYes92¢ → >99¢ | $3,000 | +$242 +8.1% | 25 |
| 39d |  turtle911 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$37 +3.1% | 20 |
| 39d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 39d | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e052 fills | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $3,346 | +$89 +2.7% | 22 |
| 39d | iForgor | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$2,718 +157% | 21 |
| 40d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$15 +1.4% | 20 |
| 41d |  3648393489047 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$104 +10% | 20 |
| 41d | Handmade-Platelet | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,156 | −$56 −4.8% | — |
| 41d | KiernanMeister | October 31 | BuyYes75¢ → >99¢ | $1,245 | +$420 +34% | 37 |
| 42d | Used-Powder | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,551 | −$75 −4.8% | — |
| 42d | Rapid-Jicama | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$260 +22% | 20 |
| 43d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e22 fills | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → >99¢ | $23,503 | +$1,435 +6.1% | 24 |
| 43d | KiernanMeister | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,909 | +$143 +3.7% | 20 |
| 43d | Dudududu | December 31 | SellYes94¢ → >99¢ | $2,140 | −$121 −5.6% | — |
| 45d | bhkMarvin | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,102 | +$52 +4.7% | 23 |
| 50d |  thisisthewaymamba | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,500 | +$47 +1.9% | 21 |
| 51d | zwxokx2 | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $2,556 | +$26 +1.0% | 21 |
| 51d | allsoldout | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → >99¢ | $1,100 | +$66 +6.0% | 24 |
| 51d | huatlonglong | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → >99¢ | $1,625 | +$97 +6.0% | 24 |
| 51d | ChickenBanana-746 | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → >99¢ | $3,318 | +$198 +6.0% | 24 |
yen4u6,863 sharesprobability1,484 shares
CoinMaster1234,267 shares
LEGENDARY1011,009 shares
LornaPredicts830 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about >99%.