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Polymarket wallet 0xebc6257296364265b17cb6e2d605c66d14fdd45f · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2025 · also shown as Nonstop-Reef
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 400,000 | 50¢ → 85¢ | $341,800 | +$142K +71% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 400,000 | 50¢ → 15¢ | $58,200 | −$142K −71% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 5h | Yes | 14,700 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $14,597 | +$44 +0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 9,404 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $9,014 | +$30 +0.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 754 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $677 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 107 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$0 +0.2% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.