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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721d |  50Whence13 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $55,212 | +$4,832 +8.8% | 20 |
| 721d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa4 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,241 | +$895 +11% | 20 |
| 721d | 1mperator172 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | +$315 +9.8% | 20 |
| 722d |  NERA | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,130 | +$643 +9.0% | 20 |
| 722d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,465 | +$1,626 +25% | 20 |
| 723d | naughte | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 23 |
| 723d | Joe111-1595 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,717 | +$1,356 +13% | 20 |
| 724d | DeezzNutzz | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | −$270 −14% | — |
| 724d |  HaterzLoserz | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,239 | −$791 −15% | — |
| 726d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,623 | +$598 +17% | 20 |
| 726d | Joe111-1592 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,465 | −$663 −15% | — |
| 726d | kingfisher | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | −$306 −18% | — |
| 726d | kingfisher | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$321 +18% | 20 |
| 727d |  Gex-5184 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,662 | +$789 +17% | 20 |
| 728d | DeezzNutzz | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$341 +19% | 20 |
| 728d | fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,686 | −$1,082 −14% | — |
| 728d | HaterzLoserz | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,201 | +$828 +16% | 20 |
| 729d | hideo | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | −$400 −18% | — |
| 729d | Carpfisher2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,287 | +$481 +15% | 20 |
| 729d | PolyOG | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | −$365 −22% | — |
| 729d |  just.some.guy | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | −$399 −17% | — |
| 729d |  grugzilla | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | −$468 −15% | — |
| 730d | SMO2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,621 | +$1,223 +26% | 20 |
| 730d | just.some.guy | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$189 +13% | 20 |
| 731d | chiwawa | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$162 −15% | — |
| 731d | jyPoz | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$107 +9.9% | 20 |
| 732d |  Wloczega | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,365 | −$1,365 −100% | 22 |
| 733d | BitcoinerRetired | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,795 | −$1,795 −100% | 24 |
| 735d | 0x2370…0e10 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | −$200 −11% | — |
| 736d | Kingking178 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$214 −7.8% | — |
| 736d | InsiderPelosi | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$108 −7.5% | — |
| 738d | grugzilla | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$329 +6.6% | 20 |
| 739d |  BustedCungly | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$101 −8.6% | — |
| 739d | Carpfisher | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$130 −7.4% | — |
| 739d |  ActDrew | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | −$171 −9.5% | — |
| 742d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | −$103 −7.9% | — |
| 744d | cryptoguy-598 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 22 |
| 744d | hideo2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,638 | +$139 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d | garlic11 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | −$144 −7.3% | — |
| 745d | garlic11 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d | ActDrew | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$142 +7.4% | 20 |
| 745d | belyay | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$42 +3.2% | 20 |
| 745d | chiwawa | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$131 +5.2% | 20 |
| 745d | ElihuDFraudsteal | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$214 +11% | 20 |
| 745d |  raise4info | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$139 −11% | — |
| 745d | Kingking178 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | +$130 +4.6% | 20 |
| 745d |  carp2 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$290 +13% | 20 |
| 746d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$162 +14% | 20 |
| 746d | 50Whence | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 20 |
| 747d |  WongKimArk | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,870 | +$1,870 +100% | — |
| 750d |  MisTKy3 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$1,879 +150% | 20 |
| 775d |  XiJinPing-4782 fills | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | −$3,388 −155% | — |
| 782d | XiJinPing-478 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$801 +76% | 20 |
| 785d | raise4info | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | −$1,382 −100% | 20 |
| 785d |  Uselink | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | −$1,532 −89% | — |
| 790d | 50Whence | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$729 −57% | — |
| 790d |  Mr-Yolos | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | +$837 +30% | 20 |
| 790d |  JJo | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $4,590 | +$1,371 +30% | 20 |
| 790d |  dreamer | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$345 +30% | 20 |
| 805d |  aenews2 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$144 +11% | 20 |
National.Glory12 shares
vote.fun6,004 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between May 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.