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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | +82 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  Gleaming-Pear | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,423 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d |  Erasmus. | June 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,453 | +$475 +8.7% | 4 |
| 147d | wan1234 fills | June 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,504 | +$1,953 +26% | 4 |
| 156d | tinman2 | June 30 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$2,501 +84% | 4 |
| 173d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | −$81 −4.7% | — |
| 174d | HornyBibi3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,479 | +$300 +4.6% | 4 |
| 193d |  DirkDiggler67 | April 30 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$385 +37% | 4 |
| 193d | MTD2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$2,474 +110% | 4 |
| 193d |  Car | April 30 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$224 −22% | — |
| 196d | Car | April 30 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$511 +29% | 4 |
| 197d | panzer43561 | April 30 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 199d |  duderr | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,285 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | Eatpraylove3 fills | March 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,113 | +$437 +8.5% | 4 |
| 201d | Dim-Workhorse | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 205d | Dar1us | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$33 +2.9% | 4 |
| 208d | TronOG | March 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$139 +11% | 4 |
| 209d | Dim-Workhorse | March 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$190 +14% | 4 |
SUPERNOVA-1,016 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.