| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,187 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $1,087 | +$42 +4.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1,010 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $965 | +$184 +24% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,050 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $806 | +$153 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 809 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $770 | +$132 +21% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 670 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $649 | +$89 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 709 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $642 | +$21 +3.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 605 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $591 | +$153 +35% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 589 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $569 | +$78 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 800 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $500 | +$60 +14% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 708 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $492 | +$50 +11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 466 | 61¢ → 89¢ | $413 | +$128 +45% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 440 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $365 | +$61 +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $364 | +$22 +6.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 380 | 61¢ → 88¢ | $333 | +$101 +43% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 353 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $329 | +$11 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 300 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $286 | +$31 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 412 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $284 | +$8 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 290 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $280 | +$36 +15% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 302 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $279 | +$21 +8.3% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 284 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $271 | +$35 +15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 369 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $268 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 663 | 51¢ → 37¢ | $245 | −$90 −27% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 515 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $242 | +$19 +8.6% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $239 | +$34 +17% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 407 | 58¢ → 57¢ | $234 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $218 | +$14 +6.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 225 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $208 | +$12 +6.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$16 +9.0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 200 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$28 +17% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$13 +7.1% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 221 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $193 | +$15 +8.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$54 +40% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 255 | 49¢ → 73¢ | $186 | +$60 +48% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$25 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 170 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $169 | +$14 +9.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 315 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $166 | +$5 +3.0% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $165 | +$15 +10% |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 203 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $159 | +$25 +18% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $159 | +$11 +7.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 53¢ | $158 | −$89 −36% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $153 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $142 | +$5 +3.8% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 256d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $141 | +$12 +9.6% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 154 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $141 | +$8 +6.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $140 | +$4 +2.7% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 150 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $140 | +$27 +24% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 183 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $139 | −$5 −3.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 170 | 92¢ → 81¢ | $138 | −$19 −12% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $133 | −$4 −2.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $130 | +$12 +10.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 396 | 27¢ → 33¢ | $129 | +$21 +20% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 170 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $128 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 141 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $128 | +$28 +28% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 62¢ | $123 | −$39 −24% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $116 | −$19 −14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 120 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $115 | +$8 +7.3% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 115 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.8% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 119 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $107 | +$7 +6.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 150 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $105 | +$8 +7.7% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $104 | +$15 +17% |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Ends in 63d | Avengers: Doomsday | 106 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $103 | +$17 +20% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$7 +7.9% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$13 +15% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$4 +4.6% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$9 +10% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$16 +22% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 536 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $89 | −$10 −11% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 200 | 71¢ → 44¢ | $88 | −$53 −38% |
| Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$3 +2.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $85 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 56¢ | $83 | −$35 −29% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $83 | −$3 −3.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 349 | 41¢ → 24¢ | $82 | −$61 −43% |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Ends in 440d | SpaceX | 100 | 93¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$17 −18% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 825d | Yes | 100 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$10 +15% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 96 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $73 | +$12 +19% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$13 −15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 70 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $69 | +$8 +14% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 70 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 473 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $67 | −$7 −9.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 140 | 60¢ → 45¢ | $62 | −$21 −25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 104 | 48¢ → 53¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 56¢ → 33¢ | $49 | −$35 −42% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 220 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $46 | +$2 +5.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 200 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $45 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $44 | +$7 +19% |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | Yes | 150 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $35 | $0 0.0% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$9 −22% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 220 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $31 | −$9 −22% |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | Yes | 150 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 32 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | Yes | 150 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $29 | −$3 −9.5% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 53¢ → 28¢ | $27 | −$25 −48% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 64¢ → 26¢ | $26 | −$39 −60% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | Yes | 150 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $25 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 158 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $23 | −$32 −59% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 80 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $23 | −$4 −16% |
