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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 99% | +1 pts | +9 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Frances Tiafoe | 94% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 93¢ · 96¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Tommy Paul | 7% | −4 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 10¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Jiri Lehecka | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Jakub Mensik | 6% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · 12¢ | — | — |
| Taylor Fritz | 13% | −6 pts | −26 pts | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | $697 | — |
| Valentin Vacherot | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | — |
| Andrey Rublev | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Arthur Rinderknech | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rafael Jodar | 90% | +27 pts | +62 pts | 86¢ · 94¢ (8¢) | $387 | — |
| Ben Shelton | 98% | — | — | 96¢ · >99¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6% | −7 pts | −48 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | $260 | — |
| Novak Djokovic | 29% | −8 pts | −13 pts | 27¢ · 31¢ (4¢) | $250 | — |
| Luciano Darderi | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Learner Tien | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Casper Ruud | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Joao Fonseca | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Karen Khachanov | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Jannik Sinner | 97% | — | — | 93¢ · >99¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Alexander Bublik | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Alex de Minaur | 55% | −8 pts | +8 pts | 54¢ · 55¢ (1¢) | $67.5 | — |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Flavio Cobolli | 97% | — | +4 pts | 93¢ · >99¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Arthur Fils | 95% | +2 pts | +4 pts | 94¢ · 95¢ (1¢) | $14.2 | — |
| Alexander Zverev | 97% | — | — | 93¢ · >99¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 97% | — | — | 93¢ · >99¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Ugo Humbert | 3% | — | — | — · 7¢ | — | — |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 3% | — | — | — · 7¢ | — | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | — |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 season ranked within the top 10 (positions 1 through 10, inclusive) of the official year-end ATP singles rankings. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "year-end ATP singles rankings" are the final official singles rankings published after the conclusion of the 2026 ATP Tour season, including the ATP Finals. A player ranked exactly 10th counts as "Yes"; a player ranked 11th or lower, or unranked, counts as "No". If the ATP does not publish a year-end singles ranking for 2026, or the season is not completed, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official ATP year-end singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Daniil Medvedev means the market gives it about 99%.