| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 459 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $356 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 375 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $321 | +$12 +4.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 380 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $306 | +$8 +2.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 312 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $289 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 312 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $282 | −$11 −3.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 312 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $281 | +$19 +7.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 234 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $232 | +$19 +9.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 312 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $198 | +$30 +18% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 188 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $165 | +$3 +1.7% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 156 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $150 | +$5 +3.4% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 156 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $150 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 156 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $149 | +$12 +8.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 312 | 69¢ → 48¢ | $148 | −$66 −31% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 156 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $147 | +$4 +2.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 156 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $135 | +$40 +42% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $125 | +$99 +389% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 156 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $119 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 149 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $118 | +$19 +19% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 121 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $115 | +$19 +20% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 123 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $115 | +$12 +12% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | Yes | 210 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $114 | −$3 −2.7% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $114 | +$9 +8.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 468 | 57¢ → 24¢ | $110 | −$157 −59% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $108 | +$19 +21% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 156 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $106 | +$23 +28% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 124 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $106 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 156 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $101 | +$22 +27% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 161 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $97 | +$4 +4.1% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 187 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $94 | −$5 −5.5% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 124 | 51¢ → 75¢ | $92 | +$29 +46% |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 124 | 57¢ → 72¢ | $89 | +$18 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $88 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 124 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $84 | −$5 −5.3% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 117 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $84 | +$18 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 125 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $81 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 225 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $80 | −$5 −6.4% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 93 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $78 | +$3 +4.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 146 | 31¢ → 53¢ | $77 | +$31 +69% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 78 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $76 | +$16 +27% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 78 | 51¢ → 97¢ | $75 | +$36 +89% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 85 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $75 | +$4 +5.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $73 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 188 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 87 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $71 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 93 | 68¢ → 75¢ | $69 | +$6 +9.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 120 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $64 | +$19 +41% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 68 | 58¢ → 92¢ | $63 | +$23 +59% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 33d | No | 62 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $60 | +$4 +7.5% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 62 | 53¢ → 96¢ | $59 | +$26 +80% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 110 | 41¢ → 52¢ | $58 | +$13 +28% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | No | 93 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $58 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 75 | 42¢ → 77¢ | $58 | +$26 +82% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $55 | +$9 +21% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 62 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $54 | +$7 +15% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 62 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $53 | +$8 +17% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $52 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 106 | 26¢ → 48¢ | $51 | +$23 +85% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 52 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $51 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 41¢ → 41¢ | $51 | −$1 −1.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 122 | 40¢ → 40¢ | $48 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 100 | 52¢ → 47¢ | $47 | −$5 −9.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 62 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 111 | 56¢ → 40¢ | $44 | −$18 −29% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $44 | +$8 +22% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 46 | 56¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$17 +68% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 90 | 71¢ → 44¢ | $40 | −$24 −38% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 55¢ → 51¢ | $39 | −$4 −8.7% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 117 | 79¢ → 31¢ | $36 | −$56 −61% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 93 | 76¢ → 38¢ | $35 | −$35 −50% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 37 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $30 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 105 | 16¢ → 27¢ | $29 | +$12 +69% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $29 | +$8 +39% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 157 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $27 | −$13 −33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 49 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 6h | Yes | 46 | 61¢ → 58¢ | $27 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | No | 31 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $26 | +$5 +23% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $26 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 36¢ → 92¢ | $25 | +$15 +154% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 82 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $23 | −$3 −10% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 53 | 34¢ → 41¢ | $21 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 155 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $21 | −$12 −37% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $19 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 124 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $19 | +$3 +18% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 125 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $18 | −$2 −9.4% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 19 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 245d | Yes | 124 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 56 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $16 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 28 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $16 | −$2 −14% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Haaland | 20 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 62 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $15 | −$2 −12% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 62 | 10¢ → 25¢ | $15 | +$9 +145% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 63 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $15 | −$1 −8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 15 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 78 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $13 | +$5 +53% |
