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Polymarket wallet 0x4103ade4e714dff501abc77873bc93f6decd1c17 · on Polymarket since Aug 18, 2026 · also shown as Awful-Payee
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,325 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $5,054 | +$454 +9.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 9,101 | 54¢ → 28¢ | $2,594 | −$2,345 −47% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes50¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes52¢ | $1,212 |
| 58d | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo64¢ | $1,623 |
| 58d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes50¢ | $2,827 |
| 58d | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes59¢ | $1,407 |
| 59d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes52¢ | $3,058 |
| 59d | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $2,643 |
| 59d | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo66¢ | $402 |
| 59d | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes53¢ | $1,730 |
| 59d | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes51¢ | $590 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.