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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $461 | in 76d |
| September 30, 2027 | 4% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $53.6 | in 349d |
| June 30, 2027 | 5% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $42.4 | in 257d |
| March 31, 2027 | 4% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $35.3 | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | supreme-fatnigg | December 31, 2026 | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $3,577 | −$48 −1.3% | — |
| 10d | MaxEnt | December 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,442 | +$23 +1.6% | — |
| 10d |  olegs | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $3,272 | −$81 −2.5% | 2 |
| 10d | zisone | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo98¢ → 96¢ | $5,000 | −$116 −2.3% | 2 |
| 10d | zisone | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,000 | −$14 −1.4% | 2 |
| 14d | user39100 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,047 | −$126 −12% | — |
| 40d | BetterHold | Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,470 | +$120 +4.9% | 2 |
| 71d | cookiana | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes24¢ → 3¢ | $1,411 | −$1,206 −86% | 9 |
| 108d | manipulat0r | December 31, 2026 | SellNo78¢ → 97¢ | $1,707 | −$405 −24% | — |
| 214d | StevenGarcia5212 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo63¢ → 97¢ | $1,373 | +$731 +53% | 7 |
| 219d | ReneeJordan6736 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 97¢ | $1,118 | +$543 +49% | 7 |
| 234d | supreme-fatnigg2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 97¢ | $2,965 | +$1,188 +40% | 7 |
| 260d |  RubiksGus2 fills | December 31, 2026 | SellNo31¢ → 97¢ | $10,722 | −$22,672 −211% | — |
| 260d | user39100 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo32¢ → 97¢ | $1,213 | +$2,473 +204% | 8 |
| 260d | bitcoinorange3 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes70¢ → 3¢ | $4,726 | −$4,493 −95% | 7 |
| 269d |  cryptoatma | December 31, 2026 | SellYes68¢ → 3¢ | $1,040 | +$988 +95% | — |
| 273d | Post4 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes66¢ → 3¢ | $2,484 | −$2,355 −95% | 7 |
| 275d | onlinelink | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes66¢ → 3¢ | $1,216 | −$1,152 −95% | 7 |
| 286d | brannon-omnis | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes70¢ → 3¢ | $1,390 | −$1,322 −95% | 7 |
| 292d | hellobaguette | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,706 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | buuuuub | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,002 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d |  elmcap2 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,023 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 295d | bozotys | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 297d | owl777 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 299d |  hamilton1 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 299d | mexicola3 fills | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,749 | +$51 +0.6% | 2 |
| 302d | claudecoder34 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,474 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 303d |  trader49 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,946 | +$66 +1.0% | 2 |
| 305d | claudecoder34 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$39 +2.8% | 2 |
| 307d | gogler | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$20 +1.9% | 2 |
| 311d |  Batterseaaaaa | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,294 | −$475 −9.0% | — |
| 313d | Batterseaaaaa | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,680 | +$88 +1.6% | 2 |
| 344d | andre1116 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,028 | −$1,056 −26% | — |
| 344d | andre1116 | Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$84 +1.7% | 2 |
Nibiru23,713 shares
Nadmi3,000 shares
LornaPredicts497 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 4%.
