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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d |  noreasapa | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,667 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 138d |  yevhenry | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,493 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 244d |  Rylai | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$263 +25% | 10 |
| 247d |  DumplingBMF | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,751 | +$249 +14% | 10 |
| 253d | cqs | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $8,084 | +$2,022 +25% | 10 |
| 258d | noreasapa | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,196 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 264d |  007-Bond | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$8 +0.7% | 10 |
| 267d | onthewave | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.2% | 10 |
| 268d | Upset-InstructionNew account | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,676 | +$2,348 +35% | 23 |
| 277d | Reimbroq2 fills | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,664 | +$131 +1.0% | 10 |
| 278d | 339231892 fills | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,563 | +$167 +2.2% | 10 |
| 279d | Serpentine-Flipflops | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$36 −3.5% | — |
| 283d |  Mr-Krabs | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | −$81 −3.8% | — |
| 286d | asonetuhid2 fills | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,542 | +$179 +5.0% | 10 |
| 287d |  AngryRhino2 fills | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,235 | +$722 +8.8% | 10 |
| 288d | Serpentine-Flipflops | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$91 +6.5% | 10 |
| 288d |  Tenebrus7 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$106 +6.8% | 10 |
| 292d | kevtp | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$84 +7.5% | 10 |
Eutambemsou92 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 6%.