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Polymarket wallet 0xea45124c26c5fe50ab6d7786776b47f42da7284c · on Polymarket since Oct 6, 2025 · also shown as Quarrelsome-Origin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 29,628 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $28,931 | +$5,463 +23% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$400 +4.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,774 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $9,573 | +$580 +6.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 75d | No | 6,760 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $6,509 | +$848 +15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,681 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $1,555 | +$201 +15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,196 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$77 +6.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,073 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,415 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,691 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,849 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.