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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Connolly | 100% | +2 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conor McGregor | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peter Casey | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Fitzgerald | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Seán Kelly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mairead McGuinness | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bertie Ahern | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cynthia Ní Mhurchú | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jarlath Burns | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Finucane | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barry Andrews | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Delehanty | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jim Gavin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Billy Kelleher | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mary Lou McDonald | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle O’Neill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Micheal Martin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bob Geldof | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Steen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Frances Black | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Heather Humphreys | 0% | −2 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fergus Finlay | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emily O'Reilly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael McDowell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356d |  basedcigany | Frances Fitzgerald | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | basedcigany | Peter Casey | SellNo>99¢ | $4,228 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | basedcigany2 fills | Emily O'Reilly | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | hughjonesd | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $9,484 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | nonkenny90 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,687 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | BryanPunishMK22 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $26,639 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | Dissent | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $2,320 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 356d |  blkp | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,152 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 356d |  axanet | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $3,363 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  RealScroogeMcDuck | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,125 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  thevibeformerlyknownastrimtrimtrimsahur | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $10,516 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | haraya | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,274 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | wokerjoesleeper | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,974 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  wkmfa5182 fills | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $299,430 | −$987 −0.3% | — |
| 357d | wkmfa5182 fills | Heather Humphreys | SellNo>99¢ | $109,696 | −$452 −0.4% | — |
| 357d | Obetz | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $4,598 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | basedcigany | Conor McGregor | SellNo>99¢ | $34,965 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  z838r328hzr3erqrw | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | tagikarp | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $46,357 | −$93 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | adongge | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,148 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 357d |  probability | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,827 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d |  Riximoncadacoookedme | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $2,053 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 357d |  Forensics2 fills | Catherine Connolly | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | −$23 −0.8% | — |
| 357d |  UwO5 fills | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $25,413 | −$51 −0.2% | — |
| 357d |  Obamnna | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $7,208 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | ab6a13 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,997 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | adongge | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | b6212 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,997 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | fi412 | Heather Humphreys | SellNo>99¢ | $5,722 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | cae711 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,997 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | akuai | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Catherine Connolly | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $48,209 | −$990 −2.1% | — |
| 357d |  abracadabr | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,055 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | dermlk | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,141 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | akuai | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | travis0035 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $8,311 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | 67676767 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | 67676767 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d | Slight-Radiosonde | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $4,259 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | wkmfa51811 fills | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $370,157 | +$8,848 +2.4% | 10 |
| 357d | 0xb34B41EFb262602BDe24d4Fb9e04b2DA7f0690C5 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $10,343 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 357d |  nnimrodd5 fills | Catherine Connolly | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,927 | −$682 −4.6% | — |
| 357d | Luckgoblin3 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $2,794 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | squishyturtle2 fills | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 357d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | d008 | Heather Humphreys | SellNo>99¢ | $3,049 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  AT1989 | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $1,088 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 357d | Cookiemonstr | Catherine Connolly | SellYes>99¢ | $2,888 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 357d |  mantou11 | Heather Humphreys | SellNo>99¢ | $2,612 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | wkmfa5186 fills | Heather Humphreys | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $240,241 | +$11,467 +4.8% | 10 |
| 357d | TommyETH2 fills | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d | cigarettes11 fills | Heather Humphreys | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,713 | +$829 +5.0% | 10 |
| 357d |  nicoco89 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d | mantou11 | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d | mantou11 | Heather Humphreys | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$13 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d | zillaman | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d |  Zarshka | Catherine Connolly | BuyYes100¢ | $1,891 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 357d | meropi | Heather Humphreys | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 357d | VBJEFDGR | Catherine Connolly | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,058 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 357d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | Heather Humphreys | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,646 | +$1,158 +11% | 10 |
ciro275,153 shares
FreeCityIndividual5,508 sharesThe 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025. This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election. If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Catherine Connolly means the market gives it about 100%.