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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  shoumi12 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,968 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Snappy-Controller | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 290d | ultraaxiom | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 290d | Zelenes3 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 290d | yoobii12 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 290d |  tmdi2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,255 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 291d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,969 | −$31 −0.5% | — |
| 291d | facaiaaa | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,402 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | BRGVET5 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,748 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d |  yongzhuandashi666 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,885 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | 886699 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,437 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | suohacreazy | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d |  lasiweijiasi | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,800 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 291d | iamtheworst | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,129 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | listaRR2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,900 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 291d | heading | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,446 | −$88 −0.7% | — |
| 291d | lijialijia2020 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,572 | −$191 −0.6% | — |
| 291d | SILF5 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,198 | −$94 −0.6% | — |
| 291d | dwFqcd4Z4 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $53,394 | −$345 −0.6% | — |
| 291d | tmdi2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,285 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 291d |  Anjun | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 291d | cijinping2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$18 +0.5% | 20 |
| 291d |  peggysage3 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,017 | −$235 −1.5% | — |
| 292d |  Goopster3 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $31,574 | −$601 −1.9% | — |
| 292d |  Martiini | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 292d | pie | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$40 +0.4% | 20 |
| 292d |  DDDASHEE | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 292d | pm777777 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,985 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 292d | oijfoijwoiroiwoirui22 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,597 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 |
| 292d | EDCvfr41qaz | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,105 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 292d |  JesusReturns2026 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,240 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 292d | pdfogudf | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d | asskik | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,948 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | 864a1 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,334 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d | 2a43398 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,093 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | gettr | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,878 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 294d | 382222 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,230 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 294d | tommyaltaccount | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$27 +1.4% | 20 |
| 294d | 4ae02 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,300 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 294d | 2498an0n | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,712 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | 6bc607 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,240 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | tony901252 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,446 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 295d | rrrg42 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,482 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | rrrg42 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,492 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | nothinghAppenn | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,127 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 296d | irongy | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d | nothinghAppenn | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d | 77ebc1bb | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,542 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 296d | 09c772 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,212 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 296d | 7089d7 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,350 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | revengeee | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | XVFlow | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $20,514 | −$62 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | chaoyueziji | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | quqlulu | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,293 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | quqlulu | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,295 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | chaoyueziji | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | pengulover344 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,744 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | 38222 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,243 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d | 917cf06 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,180 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 298d | pmcb | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,980 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.