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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham | 100% | +13 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Robert Kenyon | 0% | −11 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Simon Finkelstein | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| John Skipworth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Maria Deery | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| James Thomas Bryer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rebecca Shepherd | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120d | marchonnow | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $4,496 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 120d |  ProfessionalPunter3 fills | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $12,076 | +$2,937 +24% | 11 |
| 120d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo>99¢ | $6,813 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 120d | FxnEdge | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo>99¢ | $2,335 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 120d |  hd7772 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,197 | +$49 +1.5% | 10 |
| 120d |  Bperil | Andy Burnham | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,559 | −$74 −2.9% | — |
| 120d | longonly | Andy Burnham | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 120d | Kevindoto | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,344 | +$24 +1.0% | 10 |
| 120d |  DonationsReceiver | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo>99¢ | $19,922 | −$78 −0.4% | — |
| 120d | SlavaUkraini | Andy Burnham | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,014 | +$427 +3.6% | 10 |
| 120d | JustHereWaiting | Andy Burnham | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,159 | +$324 +5.3% | 10 |
| 120d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $150,017 | +$717 +0.5% | 10 |
| 120d | fgrtsdfdf2 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,300 | +$463 +6.3% | 10 |
| 120d | StudentMoney2 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,664 | +$82 +0.6% | 10 |
| 120d |  sabsabinxz3 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,912 | +$1,113 +23% | 11 |
| 120d | generalVR | Andy Burnham | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | +$155 +7.5% | 10 |
| 120d | baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E74752 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,215 | +$9 +0.4% | 10 |
| 120d | StudentMoney4 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,711 | −$321 −1.0% | — |
| 120d | TopCat | Andy Burnham | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 10 |
| 120d |  wish- | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$90 +8.7% | 10 |
| 120d | acrx999 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 10 |
| 120d | donthackme72 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $116,373 | +$1,337 +1.1% | 10 |
| 120d | donthackme28 fills | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $42,071 | +$9,121 +22% | 10 |
| 120d | acrx999 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$180 +6.4% | 10 |
| 120d | SplendidAmadeus7 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $16,815 | +$3,321 +20% | 10 |
| 120d | PolBandit6 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $30,195 | +$1,884 +6.2% | 10 |
| 120d | cezarn1323 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $88,500 | +$1,349 +1.5% | 10 |
| 120d | conotocaurius | Andy Burnham | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | −$122 −6.4% | — |
| 120d | SplendidAmadeus | Andy Burnham | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | −$150 −6.4% | — |
| 120d |  bosshog2 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo100¢ | $28,589 | +$144 +0.5% | 10 |
| 120d |  Yirmeyahu2 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$254 +5.4% | 10 |
| 120d | DonationsReceiver | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo100¢ | $5,527 | +$28 +0.5% | 10 |
| 120d |  Tigerofthehood3 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo100¢ | $99,500 | +$500 +0.5% | 10 |
| 120d | WharfMan2 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$228 +5.8% | 10 |
| 120d | baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475 | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$72 +6.4% | 10 |
| 121d |  pup1 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,086 | +$16 +0.4% | 10 |
| 121d | lordedward2 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo>99¢ | $3,485 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 121d | ProfessionalPunter | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,595 | +$147 +0.4% | 10 |
| 121d | LeRoiSoleil3 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,758 | −$1,195 −14% | — |
| 121d |  CoffeeDespiser | Andy Burnham | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$106 +8.7% | 10 |
| 121d | tennisclub4 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $21,592 | +$6,940 +32% | 12 |
| 121d |  YourMumsFundManager | Andy Burnham | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$221 +11% | 10 |
| 121d |  StarMaster | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 10 |
| 121d |  Political-Predator | Andy Burnham | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 10 |
| 121d | Bukaj08893 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $6,374 | +$970 +15% | 12 |
| 121d | 246456546gdfgtg4 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $7,137 | +$1,641 +23% | 13 |
| 121d |  ZiK. | Andy Burnham | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | −$244 −15% | — |
| 121d |  VEQT3 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $12,699 | +$1,961 +15% | 10 |
| 121d |  tourists2 fills | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $11,406 | +$3,678 +32% | 12 |
| 121d | tourists2 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $8,016 | +$2,278 +28% | 11 |
| 121d |  Flipadelphia3 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $61,919 | +$395 +0.6% | 10 |
| 121d | Melody626 | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $15,626 | +$2,544 +16% | 10 |
| 121d | VEQT2 fills | Robert Kenyon | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $11,255 | +$1,832 +16% | 10 |
| 121d | pup12 fills | Robert Kenyon | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,610 | +$2,610 +100% | — |
| 121d | kishco30 fills | Robert Kenyon | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $85,215 | −$85,215 −100% | 34 |
| 121d |  Vitales | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 121d |  nnimrodd | Andy Burnham | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | −$247 −16% | — |
| 121d | SplendidAmadeus4 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,834 | −$133 −1.0% | — |
| 121d | euro-catcher3 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,629 | +$1,303 +28% | 11 |
| 121d | OPTIONSKING | Andy Burnham | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,210 | −$790 −15% | — |
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Andy Burnham means the market gives it about 100%.