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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $14,302 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 442d | keborgan | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,231 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 442d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,676 | −$98 −2.7% | — |
| 442d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $19,722 | +$459 +2.3% | 2 | |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $41,363 | +$2,914 +7.0% | 2 | |
| 442d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 442d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $5,580 | +$420 +7.5% | 2 |
| 442d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$56 +3.1% | 2 |
| 442d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $13,594 | −$2,660 −20% | — |
| 442d | brr6942011 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $17,279 | +$2,157 +12% | 3 |
| 442d | precision17 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $54,501 | +$8,740 +16% | 3 |
| 442d | GrindMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellUp6¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | +$1,002 +100% | — |
| 443d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp42¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 4 |
| 443d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 5 |
| 443d | Exploiter | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $3,415 | +$3,415 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 31 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 1 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 31 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 1 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.