Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September Meeting | 100% | +9 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 52d |
| October Meeting | 100% | +7 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 52d |
| July Meeting | 0% | −22 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 52d |
| April Meeting | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 52d |
| June Meeting | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 52d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | glhfgg | September Meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 30d |  DonationsReceiver | October Meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $3,796 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 30d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | September Meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $2,232 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 30d | ClickKlackClick | September Meeting | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$70 +2.4% | 10 |
| 30d | ClickKlackClick | October Meeting | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,635 | +$819 +4.9% | 10 |
| 30d | fillit98 | September Meeting | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,840 | +$609 +7.8% | 10 |
| 30d | neutralwave23 | September Meeting | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $3,637 | −$3,637 −100% | 19 |
| 30d | HornyBibi | September Meeting | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,623 | +$816 +18% | 10 |
| 30d |  classified2 fills | October Meeting | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $16,152 | −$1,448 −9.0% | — |
| 30d | julieta1 | September Meeting | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$214 +12% | 10 |
| 30d | TRADER420 | October Meeting | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$151 −9.9% | — |
| 30d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | September Meeting | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | +$236 +12% | 10 |
| 31d | evohunter | October Meeting | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | +$195 +8.7% | 10 |
| 31d | 0xcb14…bd17 | September Meeting | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$330 +12% | 10 |
| 31d | classified | September Meeting | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $26,261 | +$3,924 +15% | 10 |
| 31d | Naughtyboy2 fills | September Meeting | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $4,839 | −$4,839 −100% | 21 |
| 31d | krill8102 fills | September Meeting | SellNo19¢ → 0¢ | $3,057 | +$3,057 +100% | — |
| 31d | tms2016 | October Meeting | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$96 +8.7% | 10 |
| 31d | classified | September Meeting | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,389 | −$599 −11% | — |
| 31d | Peaceful-Fire-Bell | September Meeting | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | −$200 −11% | — |
| 31d | deltasniper8 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $119,429 | +$21,408 +18% | 10 |
| 32d | xiaoshen13898 | September Meeting | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | −$348 −15% | — |
| 32d | DonationsReceiver2 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,638 | +$1,262 +17% | 10 |
| 32d | classified | October Meeting | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $20,448 | +$3,608 +18% | 10 |
| 33d | jack889993 fills | October Meeting | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $11,079 | −$11,079 −100% | 25 |
| 33d |  TimRob | September Meeting | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$265 +23% | 10 |
| 33d | 0x927a…90d62 fills | October Meeting | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,416 | −$1,128 −21% | — |
| 33d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul14 fills | September Meeting | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $24,835 | +$21,159 +85% | 10 |
| 33d | mmmppp3339 fills | September Meeting | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $10,902 | −$10,902 −100% | 16 |
| 33d | ENTG | September Meeting | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 33d | JonTay6 fills | September Meeting | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $24,507 | −$6,243 −25% | — |
| 34d | WarriorH2 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | +$734 +30% | 10 |
| 35d | thanksmom2 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $4,151 | +$822 +20% | 10 |
| 36d | tagikarp | September Meeting | SellNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
| 36d |  foodenjoyer | September Meeting | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,104 | +$1,029 +25% | 10 |
| 36d | Naive-Integration2 fills | September Meeting | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,488 | −$2,488 −100% | 13 |
| 36d | JonTay2 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,498 | +$1,740 +39% | 10 |
| 36d | JonTay3 fills | September Meeting | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $24,413 | +$15,798 +65% | 10 |
| 36d | Fulgurator | September Meeting | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $11,113 | +$6,527 +59% | 10 |
| 36d | Fulgurator | September Meeting | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,158 | +$1,158 +100% | — |
| 36d | 0x5287…3a16 | September Meeting | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | −$1,217 −76% | — |
| 36d |  StupidMonkeyyy | September Meeting | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,467 | −$2,467 −100% | 11 |
| 36d |  DancewithRisk3 fills | October Meeting | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,145 | −$2,790 −45% | — |
| 36d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | September Meeting | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$1,368 −69% | — |
| 36d | JonTay | October Meeting | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | −$603 −33% | — |
| 36d | glhfgg2 fills | September Meeting | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $8,301 | +$5,136 +62% | 10 |
| 37d | CDAP12 fills | September Meeting | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $7,443 | +$8,945 +120% | 12 |
| 37d | 0x18b3…6a7c2 fills | October Meeting | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$10,160 +102% | 10 |
| 37d | ratehikes2 fills | September Meeting | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $5,085 | +$3,908 +77% | 10 |
| 37d | 0xf334…af4c | September Meeting | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 38d | bashful552 fills | September Meeting | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $4,093 | −$4,093 −100% | 11 |
| 38d |  Orange.gold | October Meeting | SellNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | +$1,166 +100% | — |
| 38d | whenSunday | September Meeting | SellNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | +$1,284 +100% | — |
| 39d | forgetfuldory | September Meeting | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$1,070 +92% | 10 |
| 40d | 8014a3d96c2 fills | September Meeting | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | −$2,368 −94% | — |
| 40d | jimmy40 | September Meeting | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 10 |
| 40d | krill8103 fills | September Meeting | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $6,910 | −$6,910 −100% | 10 |
| 42d |  Zilong | September Meeting | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $4,857 | −$4,857 −100% | 10 |
| 43d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | September Meeting | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $3,748 | +$3,748 +100% | — |
| 43d | StupidMonkeyyy2 fills | October Meeting | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $2,448 | +$2,448 +100% | — |
dodogo19 shares
ScottyNooo13,729 sharesZilong9,654 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for September Meeting means the market gives it about 100%.