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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 424 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $56 | +$29 +113% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.