| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 8d | No | 3,735 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $3,628 | +$6 +0.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,458 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,356 | +$57 +1.7% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 3,426 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $3,169 | −$11 −0.3% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,432 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $2,814 | −$148 −5.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,934 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $2,811 | +$302 +12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 2,517 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $2,276 | +$1 +0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,130 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $2,063 | +$114 +5.9% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,360 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $1,068 | −$502 −32% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $1,023 | −$27 −2.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 997 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $977 | +$52 +5.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 1,454 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $938 | +$31 +3.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 823 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $703 | +$28 +4.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 884 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $678 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 900 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $652 | +$14 +2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $625 | +$5 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 800 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $500 | +$17 +3.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 834 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $480 | −$42 −8.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 750 | 53¢ → 55¢ | $409 | +$11 +2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,300 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $380 | −$28 −7.0% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 346 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $265 | +$24 +9.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 4,421 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $199 | −$82 −29% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 528 | 31¢ → 36¢ | $187 | +$24 +15% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$17 +10% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 166 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $158 | +$24 +18% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 474 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $142 | +$14 +11% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 207 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $135 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 176 | 46¢ → 64¢ | $111 | +$31 +38% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 500 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $93 | −$19 −17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 800 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $76 | −$12 −14% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 867 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $65 | −$23 −26% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 66 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $42 | +$10 +31% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 164 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $37 | +$4 +13% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 47¢ → 35¢ | $35 | −$12 −26% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 56 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $34 | +$3 +8.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 460 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 320 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $30 | −$11 −26% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 400 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $28 | −$20 −42% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 232 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 855 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $18 | +$2 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | No | 139 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 243 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $16 | −$8 −33% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 105 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$5 −24% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 24 | 21¢ → 53¢ | $13 | +$8 +150% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 101 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $12 | −$2 −12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 31 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 35 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$6 −41% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$1 −13% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 112 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ends in 6d | No | 100 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$24 −81% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 885 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$15 −76% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $4 | +$3 +167% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 82 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $3 | +$2 +150% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 912 | 26¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$236 −99% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$5 −90% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevSettled - ready to redeem | Flavio Cobolli | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$209 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$213 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,226 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 305 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 301 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 179 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Augusto Cury win between 1% and 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Conor McGregor | 357 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,282 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Howard vs. RutgersSettled - ready to redeem | Howard | 300 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 517 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Thunder vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 500 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 221 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)Settled - ready to redeem | Cody Garbrandt | 435 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 610 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
