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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2 | 100% | +4 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 16d |
| July 17 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 8 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 10 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 7 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 9 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 6 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 12 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 11 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 13 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100d | yan666 | July 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,087 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 100d | pbshine | July 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | July 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,905 | +$61 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 100d | November 2 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $15,849 | +$807 +5.1% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 100d | November 2 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 100d | 0x...2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,079 | +$61 +1.2% | 4 |
| 100d | November 2 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,028 | +$43 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $25,454 | +$399 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 100d | 0x... | July 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$28 +2.0% | 4 |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$180 +13% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 10 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$105 +5.9% | 5 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$138 +12% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$479 +48% | 4 | |
| 100d | 0x93a9…0b882 fills | July 8 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$2,380 +108% | 4 |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $3,493 | +$7,444 +213% | 8 | |
| 100d | July 10 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,538 | −$1,538 −100% | 11 | |
| 100d | yuhyuhyuhy3523522 fills | July 8 | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $2,796 | −$2,796 −100% | 5 |
| 100d | July 8 | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $2,198 | +$2,198 +100% | — | |
| 100d | uptime0724 | July 8 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$1,134 +108% | 4 |
| 100d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | July 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,382 | −$118 −2.7% | — |
| 100d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed4 fills | November 2 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,131 | −$182 −2.6% | — |
| 100d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed5 fills | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,864 | +$286 +2.9% | 4 |
| 100d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed8 fills | November 2 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,137 | +$208 +1.9% | 4 |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,219 | −$2,219 −100% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 8 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,536 | −$1,536 −100% | 4 | |
| 100d | July 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$39 −3.3% | — | |
| 100d | November 2 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$21 −1.6% | — | |
| 100d | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,692 | +$163 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 100d | pantomime | July 8 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 4 |
| 100d | July 17 | BuyNo7¢ → 0¢ | $2,398 | −$2,398 −100% | 11 | |
| 100d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | July 10 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$236 +22% | 7 |
| 101d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | July 17 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,475 | +$205 +4.6% | 4 |
| 101d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | November 2 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,596 | +$184 +3.3% | 4 |
| 101d | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,246 | +$358 +3.5% | 4 | |
| 101d | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$42 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 101d | JustHereWaiting | July 10 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$214 +18% | 7 |
| 101d | M888 | November 2 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$41 +3.6% | 4 |
| 101d | iraa3 | November 2 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$49 +4.1% | 4 |
| 101d | July 17 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,137 | +$341 +5.5% | 4 | |
| 101d | helpisontheway | July 17 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,467 | +$402 +4.2% | 4 |
| 101d | coali10 | July 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,024 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 101d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | July 17 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | −$127 −7.1% | — |
| 101d | July 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,633 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 101d | July 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 101d | hbjhbjhbjhbj | November 2 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,208 | −$468 −5.7% | — |
| 101d | July 17 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,298 | +$277 +5.2% | 4 | |
| 101d | July 17 | BuyNo7¢ → 0¢ | $2,022 | −$2,022 −100% | 9 | |
| 101d | Trump2028 | July 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 101d | November 2 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $51,818 | +$3,844 +7.4% | 4 | |
| 101d | November 2 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 101d | July 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$18 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 102d | November 2 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,958 | +$147 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 102d | yan666 | November 2 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | −$48 −2.7% | — |
| 102d | QMG-CORE | November 2 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$19 +1.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for November 2 means the market gives it about 100%.