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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chalamet 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Polymarket | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| White House | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dream Big | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ellison | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netflix | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kylie | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leo | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Palestine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Will Smith / Punch | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shame | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sex | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alien | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zionist / Zionism | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Middle East | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran / Iranian | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ice Out / Fuck Ice | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mom | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Charlie Kirk | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthropic / Claude | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ballet | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Opera | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Chalamet 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,396 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | White House | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,419 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Charlie Kirk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Alien | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,317 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Leo | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,459 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Netflix | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Ballet | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,736 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Opera | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,833 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Iran / Iranian | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,277 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,937 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Trustinghorse | Mom | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,902 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  DOJ | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,337 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  tomatosauce2 | Mom | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,490 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 227d |  Orion-Is-My-Friend | Iran / Iranian | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | −$1,038 −100% | 20 |
| 227d | Orion-Is-My-Friend | Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 20 |
wendypeekaboo300 sharesThe Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chalamet 5+ times means the market gives it about 0%.