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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| September 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 23 | 100% | +1 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 24 | 100% | 0 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 14d |
| September 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Insistent-Door | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,596 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | 0XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e | September 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,009 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | peterlynch666888 | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,412 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d |  arjennnnn | September 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,249 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d |  LinaBell🦊 | September 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,861 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d | Top1-J3 fills | September 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,170 | +$32 +0.3% | 20 |
| 24d | milkywaybet2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,724 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d | zwxokx23 fills | September 23 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,335 | +$647 +8.8% | 21 |
| 24d | thoodr5 fills | September 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,619 | +$149 +0.5% | 20 |
| 24d | megaforest2 fills | September 24 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,168 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 24d | arjennnnn | September 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,591 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 24d | milkywaybet3 fills | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,102 | +$64 +0.2% | 20 |
| 24d | Top1-J | September 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,395 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 24d | milkywaybet | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $71,136 | +$71 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d |  MrNoItAll | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,122 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 25d | GoingGangrene | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,089 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 25d | stupid22 | September 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 25d |  0xrc | September 24 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,570 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 25d | thoodr2 fills | September 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,395 | +$60 +0.3% | 20 |
| 25d | thisissocool11 | September 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 25d | stupid222 fills | September 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,556 | +$29 +0.5% | 20 |
| 25d | tsekinming01 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,227 | +$57 +0.2% | 20 |
| 25d | Cal8002 fills | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,671 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 25d | stupid222 fills | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,040 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 25d | SilenceKevin | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,067 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 25d | soll2 | September 24 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 25d | wubddh | September 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,032 | +$32 +0.6% | 20 |
| 26d | thoodr | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,586 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 26d | emp992 | September 24 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,735 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 26d | Vilgefortz | September 24 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,574 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 26d | Poortorich | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,416 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 26d | Quaint-Poet-Corridor2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,884 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 |
| 26d | Quaint-Poet-Corridor | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,192 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 26d |  budu100 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,404 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 26d | Xtermedntid | September 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,133 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 26d | Houdray | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,282 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 26d |  LinabellAccountStolen | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,296 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 26d | halulula | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,791 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 26d | Well-Informed-Wire-Picket | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,724 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 26d | minisobaby | September 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$23 +0.4% | 20 |
| 26d |  SunXiaochuan6 | September 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 26d | Zzzz872 fills | September 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,475 | +$137 +0.7% | 20 |
| 26d |  bigshort | September 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,885 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 26d | Zzzz87 | September 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,835 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 26d | yingxer | September 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 26d |  zhangyu13772 fills | September 24 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,334 | +$88 +1.7% | 20 |
| 26d | didiaodeshuaige | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,496 | +$87 +1.2% | 20 |
| 26d |  Chims | September 23 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$151 +5.2% | 21 |
| 26d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | September 23 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$91 +5.4% | 21 |
| 26d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | September 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,128 | +$123 +2.4% | 20 |
| 26d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | September 24 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,045 | +$458 +4.6% | 20 |
| 26d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | September 23 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,790 | +$425 +8.9% | 21 |
| 26d | megaforest3 fills | September 23 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,853 | +$524 +9.0% | 21 |
| 26d | megaforest | September 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | +$171 +5.5% | 20 |
| 26d |  AlAhmeda | September 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$57 +5.5% | 20 |
| 26d | fpjsqj2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,300 | +$236 +2.8% | 20 |
| 26d |  alexfunfunfun | September 24 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$82 +4.5% | 20 |
| 26d | Cloudy-Naming | September 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,598 | +$317 +5.7% | 20 |
| 26d | soll22 fills | September 23 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,426 | +$274 +8.0% | 20 |
| 26d | soll2 | September 30 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | −$136 −5.9% | — |
Hugewinner108,340 shares
AlwaysRegressing36,673 sharesIf Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.