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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 5% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | minisobaby | Epstein client list released by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 101d | dacongm | Epstein client list released by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 121d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,240 | +$82 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 136d | ScaryDream2 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$120 +2.0% | 20 |
| 142d | Folletin4 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $11,017 | +$2,798 +25% | 20 |
| 162d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,413 | −$120 −3.5% | — | |
| 179d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,304 | −$777 −8.3% | — | |
| 180d | Folletin2 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,155 | −$839 −6.4% | — |
| 181d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,653 | +$2,653 +100% | — | |
| 186d | 0x955c…990f | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $5,330 | +$1,022 +19% | 20 |
| 188d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$336 +32% | 20 | |
| 191d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$170 +16% | 20 | |
| 191d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | −$1,384 −35% | — | |
| 191d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | −$1,019 −100% | 20 | |
| 194d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | −$327 −14% | — | |
| 195d | f2hf84hg52h5 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$263 +12% | 20 |
| 219d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$200 +10% | 20 | |
| 219d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $27,325 | +$5,873 +21% | 20 | |
| 221d | lox-frogs | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$215 −20% | — |
| 222d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$160 −15% | — | |
| 227d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$205 −19% | — | |
| 230d | mypension | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$195 −18% | — |
| 233d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,305 | +$956 +15% | 20 | |
| 242d | minisobaby5 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $10,802 | +$2,067 +19% | 20 |
| 245d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$246 +23% | 20 | |
| 247d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$667 +28% | 20 | |
| 250d | chivoexpiatorio | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 253d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$337 −27% | — | |
| 256d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $11,234 | −$11,234 −100% | 34 | |
| 257d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$418 +21% | 20 | |
| 278d | kaj432 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,140 | −$1,205 −20% | — |
| 286d | shunfer | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,875 | −$507 −18% | — |
| 287d | asskik2 fills | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$629 +19% | 20 |
| 287d | h00neybal | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$265 +19% | 20 |
| 288d | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$175 −16% | — | |
| 289d | aviato2 fills | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,193 | +$108 +2.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,493 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,590 | −$366 −3.8% | — | |
| 289d | yougotme2 fills | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $14,282 | −$54 −0.4% | — |
| 289d | luffytaro65 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,593 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | luffytaro65 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,594 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,591 | +$83 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,329 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,878 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 289d | tommyaltaccount | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,377 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,037 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,737 | −$24 −0.7% | — | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,018 | +$254 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 289d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,543 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 289d | madkkee11 fills | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $25,200 | −$1,080 −4.3% | — |
| 289d | alliswell | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 289d | pantomime | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,027 | +$78 +1.1% | 20 |
| 290d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,577 | +$119 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 290d | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $14,073 | +$2,657 +19% | 20 | |
| 290d | dilaoer | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,173 | −$577 −27% | — |
| 290d | Folletin | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$56 +1.6% | 20 |
| 290d | dilaoer | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,173 | +$577 +27% | 20 |
| 290d | shunfer | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,686 | +$714 +27% | 20 |
| 290d | aiden79 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$25 −2.3% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities. A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity. The following will not qualify: - Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity. - Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein. - Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 5%.