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Polymarket wallet 0xd8e5d96b54394c545d930fc31646e9eaf847b808 · on Polymarket since May 11, 2026 · also shown as Flippant-Mud-Lever
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,273 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $70 | −$82 −54% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 828 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $54 | −$90 −62% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 175 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $24 | −$3 −12% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,541 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,825 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,069 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$239 −100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179,453 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,106 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,516 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 596 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$528 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.