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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 15 | 100% | +73 pts | — | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 14d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  OraculumNobius | October 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,211 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 5d |  Eldshi | October 15 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 6d |  Raskell | October 15 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$785 +70% | 6 |
| 7d | ToTheWindow | October 31 | SellNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | — |
LEGENDARY1011,901 shares
Porx347 shares
SuAlteza300 shares
RainIess296 shares
balthazar283 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline cancellations, or reports that the airport is closed, suspended, or restricted will not qualify on their own if FlightAware displays departures. A qualifying period may begin as late as the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, and end after it. If a period without departures has begun but has not reached 24 consecutive hours by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until either a flight departs RUH or 24 consecutive hours have elapsed. A qualifying closure counts regardless of its cause. The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 15 means the market gives it about 100%.