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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | 0 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andy Burnham | 100% | — | — | 69¢ · 74¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +5 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −5 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +51 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +2 pts | +10 pts | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | +1 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reza Pahlavi | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 100% | +2 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maria Corina Machado | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | −26 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva | 0% | −4 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +4 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 100% | +7 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 73d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,788 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 73d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 73d | blackbeardclan | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,956 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 73d | QueenDice | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,353 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 73d | DelightfulD | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,652 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 74d | DawnOfYemen | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo>99¢ | $2,493 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 74d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,892 | +$65 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 74d | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo>99¢ | $18,435 | −$65 −0.4% | — | |
| 74d | kukubaja2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,953 | +$75 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Top1-J3 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,085 | +$31 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,519 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 74d | SBFLover69 | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,392 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 74d | 0xDonaldTrump | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,730 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 74d | 666angeldog | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,258 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | glorpy | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | 4dingodogs | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,456 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | GirlGamer | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,243 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | WestKorea | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,906 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | fredagainagain | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,791 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | OptimusBeta | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | raahraahraah | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,028 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Reza Pahlavi | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,556 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 74d | PredMarketTechnologies | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | TalibanTurtle | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,725 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,955 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 74d | mesobag | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,179 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | 0xRachel | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 74d | ZiggyWiggy | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,473 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Novatan | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo>99¢ | $6,626 | −$27 −0.4% | — |
| 74d | SuperCatMeow | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,158 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | OmegalulCar | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Unfinished-July2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,974 | +$82 +0.5% | 4 |
| 74d | KatarinaxGaren | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,193 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | RacistUser | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,897 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Bessent2028 | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,303 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 74d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo100¢ | $6,425 | +$32 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 74d | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,075 | −$84 −1.0% | — | |
| 75d | 5555five | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo100¢ | $1,866 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 75d | almostunmarried | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,474 | +$27 +0.6% | 4 |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo100¢ | $1,989 | −$10 −0.5% | — | |
| 75d | DawnOfYemen | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 75d | Arman2 | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo100¢ | $2,437 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,505 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 75d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,716 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,567 | +$1,017 +12% | 4 | |
| 75d | Jumbo-Fava-Beak4 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,870 | +$154 +0.3% | 4 |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,230 | +$29 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | −$18 −0.9% | — | |
| 75d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,180 | +$40 +0.7% | 4 |
| 75d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,860 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 5 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$382 +26% | 4 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,535 | +$1,087 +43% | 4 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,844 | +$1,844 +100% | — | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,723 | +$3,723 +100% | — | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | +$1,901 +75% | 4 | |
| 75d | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | +$1,797 +70% | 4 | |
| 75d | BwTrump | Emmanuel Macron | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Emmanuel Macron means the market gives it about 0%.