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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Madigan | 100% | −1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Teyana Taylor | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ariana Grande | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elle Fanning | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wunmi Mosaku | 0% | −1 pts | +20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emily Blunt | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Infiniti | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gwyneth Paltrow | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jennifer Lopez | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Glenn Close | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mari Yamamoto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebecca Ferguson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ayo Edebiri | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laura Dern | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Odessa A'zion | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | hungnedungso49 | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $8,224 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | SweetChariot | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo>99¢ | $1,326 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Predictandbreathe | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $5,673 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Yalokin | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $4,801 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  LoserArcMaxing | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,520 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 111123rf | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,138 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 0x25c2…cd02 | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,987 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Immediate-MethodNew account | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,920 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  tomatosauce2 | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo>99¢ | $2,572 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,254 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | pkz | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | First-Comestible | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,955 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Edible-RoadwayNew account | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,701 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  Aw0 | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,843 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Lively-Camper | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,475 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Rossosh | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | BrightSpringFox | Teyana Taylor | SellNo>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  DepositEnjoyer | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Goonba | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,291 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Clean-Collard | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  CnCo | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 0330330332 fills | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo>99¢ | $139,233 | +$139 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  Snoopyfan | Amy Madigan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 3SPRRRINTER | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | greatnicereallywell | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,013 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | NeoWick | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,663 | +$66 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | 212121212121212121212 | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Abandoned-Counsel | Wunmi Mosaku | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | Abandoned-Counsel | Amy Madigan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,689 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  AgricultureSecretary | Teyana Taylor | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | +$99 +4.3% | 20 |
| 215d | Yalokin | Amy Madigan | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,806 +60% | 20 |
| 215d | Overdue-Campaigning | Amy Madigan | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,603 +80% | 20 |
| 215d | influenz.eth | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$33 +2.3% | 20 |
| 215d | influenz.eth | Wunmi Mosaku | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$258 +21% | 20 |
| 215d | YontyBull | Teyana Taylor | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 215d | Predictandbreathe | Amy Madigan | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$1,111 +80% | 20 |
| 215d |  4UU | Amy Madigan | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | −$2,592 −76% | — |
| 215d | hungnedungso492 fills | Amy Madigan | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $4,904 | +$3,328 +68% | 20 |
| 215d | Melody626 | Teyana Taylor | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$408 +32% | 20 |
| 215d | Melody6262 fills | Amy Madigan | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,366 | +$4,488 +84% | 20 |
| 215d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Amy Madigan | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$1,124 +85% | 20 |
| 216d | oliman2 | Amy Madigan | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | +$1,404 +88% | 20 |
| 216d | 4UU | Amy Madigan | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | +$2,820 +89% | 20 |
| 216d |  tunatyler2 fills | Amy Madigan | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $3,421 | +$3,580 +105% | 25 |
| 216d | LoserArcMaxing | Amy Madigan | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$1,287 +104% | 30 |
| 217d | cnjnjhv | Elle Fanning | BuyNo100¢ | $2,589 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 217d | vfghnbhcvx | Elle Fanning | BuyNo100¢ | $2,573 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 217d | hfgfdv | Elle Fanning | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 217d | xchggdb | Elle Fanning | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,576 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 217d | cdvbmnb | Elle Fanning | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,592 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 217d | hdfffwds | Elle Fanning | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,539 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 218d | mwenya | Amy Madigan | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 25 |
| 218d |  Obamnna | Amy Madigan | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$1,108 −110% | — |
| 218d |  ImJustKen | Amy Madigan | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,369 | −$2,369 −100% | 25 |
| 220d | amplice2 | Amy Madigan | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | +$2,728 +95% | 22 |
| 221d |  zzzx22 fills | Elle Fanning | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,489 | +$58 +1.1% | 20 |
| 221d | malcom | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $17,327 | −$4,973 −29% | — |
| 221d | unseae | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $15,539 | −$4,460 −29% | — |
| 221d | cocole | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $6,535 | −$1,865 −29% | — |
| 221d | fating | Wunmi Mosaku | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $17,388 | −$4,962 −29% | — |
ImJustKen12,266 shares
0x87124,000 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Amy Madigan means the market gives it about 100%.