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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138d | hz8 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,056 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 139d | EnergyGeek | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,584 | −$93 −1.7% | — |
| 139d | ArienNasr | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,527 | −$74 −1.6% | — |
| 140d | hz8 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$54 +2.7% | 5 |
| 140d | vuvuzela | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$82 +6.8% | 5 |
| 140d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $11,741 | +$1,826 +16% | 4 | |
| 140d | KrackenSruster2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | +$907 +18% | 7 |
| 140d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | −$820 −21% | — | |
| 140d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,972 | −$786 −16% | — | |
| 140d | Huludubu6 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $12,303 | +$1,590 +13% | 4 |
| 140d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $30,876 | +$5,317 +17% | 4 | |
| 140d | denizz4 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $5,979 | −$5,979 −100% | 17 |
| 141d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$274 +9.9% | 6 | |
| 141d | misko1 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$108 +9.9% | 6 |
| 141d | poli.monaco2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,869 | +$599 +10% | 6 |
| 141d | aff3 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,797 | −$308 −11% | — |
| 141d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,740 | −$258 −9.4% | — | |
| 141d | EnergyGeek3 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,129 | +$549 +11% | 5 |
| 141d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $41,974 | +$4,413 +11% | 6 |
| 141d | ArienNasr | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$358 +9.0% | 5 |
| 141d | okcoolstorybro | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | −$177 −9.9% | — |
| 142d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $14,882 | −$14,882 −100% | 23 | |
| 142d | Mundane-Divider | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$77 +2.6% | 4 |
| 142d | jbr | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | +$53 +3.2% | 5 |
| 142d | Manzana698 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$77 +4.2% | 5 |
| 142d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,732 | +$828 +5.6% | 5 | |
| 142d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | −$187 −7.3% | — | |
| 142d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,163 | +$1,163 +100% | — | |
| 144d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,036 | +$368 +9.1% | 4 |
| 145d | aff32 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,149 | +$634 +5.7% | 4 |
| 145d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$106 −9.7% | — | |
| 146d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | −$427 −14% | — | |
| 146d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$127 −12% | — |
| 146d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | +$172 +9.5% | 5 |
| 146d | denizz2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $3,296 | +$3,296 +100% | — |
| 146d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,452 | +$2,452 +100% | — | |
| 146d | Somber-Ice | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$128 +13% | 6 |
| 146d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$336 +19% | 4 | |
| 146d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$260 +21% | 4 | |
| 146d | Kooky-Atom | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$230 +13% | 4 |
| 148d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,821 | +$217 +7.7% | 4 | |
| 148d | Niseko | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,838 | +$162 +8.8% | 4 |
| 148d | sfch | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$118 +7.9% | 4 |
| 152d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$43 +3.3% | 4 | |
| 153d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,807 | −$307 −6.4% | — | |
| 157d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | −$168 −7.5% | — | |
| 160d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,952 | −$597 −15% | — | |
| 160d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $17,777 | +$2,844 +16% | 4 | |
| 161d | Solitude26 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | +$1,313 +100% | — |
| 161d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $47,707 | +$9,068 +19% | 4 | |
| 163d | Sato | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$192 +19% | 4 |
| 164d | CompulsiveGambler | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$231 +18% | 4 |
| 164d | MonacoLover2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,425 | +$816 +13% | 4 |
| 164d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $11,515 | −$2,358 −20% | — | |
| 164d | Skinny-Class2 fills | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,839 | −$2,839 −100% | 12 |
| 165d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | −$159 −9.9% | — | |
| 168d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$150 +15% | 4 | |
| 169d | Inchoroi | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | −$357 −18% | — |
| 169d | Bodytobody | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$198 −14% | — |
| 169d | Runaround | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | +$321 +16% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.